Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2024

Astros at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

15-23

6 - 7

Toronto Blue Jays

16-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11
S.Arrighetti			4.53	7-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 15-23	-1.5+160	o8.5-110	-105
Blue Jays 16-21	+1.5-188	u8.5-107	-115

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

July 02, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

J.Berrios u4.5 Ks+118

1.18u

Berrios under this # 4 straight before last start. Below a 10 SwStr% 12x this year. 3 in HOU LU > 20 K% v RHP this year.

HOU -105

Under 8.5-115

HOU -102

1.02u

HOU -105

1.05u

J.Berrios u4.5 Ks+101

1.01u

J.Berrios u18.5 Outs-128

0.78u

S.Arrighetti o1.5 BB-210

0.48u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.15u

Over 8.5-109

0.92u

Featured Insight
The Astros are batting .252 versus relief pitchers this season -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .250 (275-for-1,100) against Blue Jays RPs this season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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The Astros are 16-15 (.516) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.

The Blue Jays are just 4-32 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

Yordan Alvarez is slugging .494 on non-fastballs down this season -- 14th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Jose Berrios has allowed a SLG of .381 on low non-fastballs this season -- sixth worst among qualified SPs-- 10th Percentile.

Mauricio Dubon has a swing rate of 46% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 123 total PA's-- 94th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .235 (12-for-51) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth best among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Spencer Arrighetti when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .259 -- 98th Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has walked 20 of 115 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .235 (12-for-51) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 -- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 6-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Blue Jays' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	14-23	8-10	6-13	10-12	3-11
Astros	15-23	8-11	7-12	4-11	11-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	17-18-2	9-9	8-9-2	11-10-1	5-8-1
Astros	24-12-2	14-5	10-7-2	9-6	14-6-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	16-21	10-8	6-13	12-10	3-11
Astros	15-23	9-10	6-13	5-10	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 1st	HOU	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	HOU +112
Jun 30th	NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY -106
Jun 29th	NYY	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +105
Jun 28th	NYY	L 5-16	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY -112
Jun 27th	NYY	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TOR +112

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Arrighetti, P	89	4	5	6
RL.Contreras, P	34	2	3	0
RS.Martinez, P	33	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-5	1	0	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	2-4	2	1	3
4Y.Diaz, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	1
6J.Singleton, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Loperfido, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Salazar, C	1-2	1	0	1
9T.Cabbage, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	60	5	1	5
RN.Pearson, P	32	2	3	0
RT.Richards, P	14	1	0	0
RC.Green, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-3	2	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	1-2	1	0	1
5G.Springer, RF	1-4	1	1	3
6D.Varsho, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Varsho, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Clement, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
8A.Kirk, C	0-2	1	0	0
9A.Barger, LF	1-3	0	0	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0	0