Giants vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 25, 2024

Giants at Mets

5:40 pm • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

34-28

7 - 2

New York Mets

39-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
J.Hicks			4.10	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 34-28	+1.5-180	o8-110	+124
Mets 39-23	-1.5+150	u8-110	-148

Saturday 5:40 p.m.

May 25, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -1.5+146

0.5u

NYM -150

1.5u

J.Hicks o3.5 Ks-105

L.Severino o4.5 Ks-145

0.69u

B.Nimmo To Record 3+ Total Bases Yes+350

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

0.8u

NYM -1+100

NYM -0.5 (F5)-105

NYM -140

1.4u

NYM -125 (F5)

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

SF +104

1.04u

Under 8.5-109

2.18u

SF +110

3.3u

NYM -120

0.6u

Bet to -125

Featured Insight
Giants hitters have an OPS of .920 over the last week -- second best in MLB. Mets RPs have allowed an OPS of .856 (85 PAs) over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Giants RPs over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Giants vs. Mets: All Signs Points to the Under
Tony Sartori•
May 25, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Luis Matos has struck out in just 4% of PA's over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last two weeks -- tied for ninth lowest among qualified SPs-- 10th Percentile.

33% of Matt Chapman strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 50% of Luis Severino's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Luis Severino allowed a batting average of just .136 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)-- 90th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)-- 10th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (46/77) against Luis Severino this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 14-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Mets' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	32-30	18-13	14-17	21-24	11-6
Giants	27-35	13-16	14-19	13-25	13-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	22-39-1	11-19-1	11-20	20-24-1	2-15
Giants	28-33-1	12-17	16-16-1	11-27	16-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	39-23	24-7	15-16	30-15	9-8
Giants	34-28	18-11	16-17	22-16	11-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	SF	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF -142
May 22nd	@CLE	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	CLE -112
May 21st	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 9	CLE +102
May 20th	@CLE	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 9	CLE +105
May 19th	@MIA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -142

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Hicks, P	87	5	8	1
LT.Rogers, P	17	0.2	1	0
RS.Hjelle, P	18	0.2	1	1
RR.Rodriguez, P	33	1.2	2	0
RL.Jackson, P	15	1	0	0
RC.Doval, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Matos, CF	1-4	1	0
2T.Estrada, 2B	0-4	1	0
3P.Bailey, DH	1-4	1	2
4M.Chapman, 3B	0-4	0	0
5W.Flores, 1B	1-4	0	0
5R.McKenna, PR	0-1	1	0
5R.McKenna, LF	0-1	1	0
6M.Yastrzemski, RF	1-5	0	3
7H.Ramos, LF	0-2	0	0
7L.Wade, PH	1-1	0	1
7M.Luciano, SS	0-1	0	0
8C.Casali, C	0-4	1	0
9B.Wisely, SS	3-4	2	1
9B.Wisely, 1B	3-4	2	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	103	7	6	1
RA.Ottavino, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	14	1	1	1
RS.Reid-Foley, P	25	0.2	1	0
LJ.Walker, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5H.Bader, PH	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-1	0	0	0