Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Guardians at Braves

5:35 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

3 - 4

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			6.52	2-5
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-149	o9-118	+131
Braves 0-0	-1.5+124	u9-103	-155

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 28, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9-102

0.98u

… windy unders Overall: 913-660-82,58% (ROI:12%) Season:9-2-1,82% (ROI:51%)

CLE +1-105

CLE +0.5 (F5)-120

CLE +114 (F5)

1.14u

CLE +1.5-125

1.5u

Over 5 (F5)-120

1.2u

Under 9.5-122

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-115)

CLE +163

0.5u

Bet to +155

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 69% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 25% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 75% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- best in MLB. Guardians have won just 31% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 28, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Ronald Acuna is slugging .554 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Andres Munoz has thrown his slider 56% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jarred Kelenic has struck out in 32% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest among hitters with at least 523 total PA's-- third Percentile. Andres Munoz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of 33% (14 SO in 42 PAs) this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has averaged 89.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	CLE	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -170
Apr 26th	CLE	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -270
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	88	4.1	5	1
RN.Sandlin, P	13	0.2	2	0
RC.Smith, P	9	1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	14	1	3	0
RH.Gaddis, P	22	1	0	2
RT.Beede, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	8	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.Fry, DH	2-4	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0
6R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0
7T.Freeman, CF	1-4	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-3	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	85	5.1	2	2
LA.Bummer, P	35	1.2	2	1
LT.Matzek, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	2	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	0
9C.Tromp, C	1-3	0	1
9T.d'Arnaud, PH	1-1	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, C	1-1	0	0