Padres vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Padres at Braves

4:20 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

6 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
D.Cease			3.47	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-205	o7.5-110	+102
Braves 0-2	-1.5+170	u7.5-110	-122

Monday 4:20 p.m.

May 20, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

SD +100

Over 7.5+100

$50.00

Under 7.5-116

Under 8-108

1.08u

SD +110

1.1u

SD +105

3.15u

Under 8.5-120

0.6u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Game 1. Bet to 8 (-103)

Featured Insight
Padres RPs have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last week -- highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 28% over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .125 (4-for-32) against Braves RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. The Padres are batting just .181 with RISP over the last two weeks -- second worst in MLB.

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The Padres are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Braves are 29-36 (.446) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Padres are just 6-18 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Ronald Acuna is batting .344 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Dylan Cease has thrown a breaking pitch 54% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Michael Harris is batting .308 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Dylan Cease has thrown a breaking pitch 54% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .214 (206 PAs) this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 99th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- sixth Percentile.

10 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

10 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- most among in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	SD	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 9	SD -121
May 17th	SD	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	SD -218
May 15th	CHC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -185
May 14th	CHC	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -198
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	90	4	5	5
RL.Gillaspie, P	40	2	2	0
RJ.Brito, P	22	1	1	0
RJ.Estrada, P	16	1	2	0
RR.Suarez, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-5	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-3	2	0
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	1	2
5M.Machado, 3B	2-4	1	2
6X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-1	0	0
6T.Wade, 2B	0-1	0	0
6D.Solano, PH	0-2	0	0
6D.Solano, 2B	0-2	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-4	0	2
8L.Campusano, C	1-4	0	0
9H.Kim, SS	1-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	83	6.1	4	2
LA.Minter, P	12	0.2	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	26	1	0	4
RD.Hernandez, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	3-5	1	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	1
7Z.Short, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-5	0	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	2-4	0	0	0