Padres vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Padres at Braves

11:10 pm • ESPN

San Diego Padres

6-14

9 - 1

Atlanta Braves

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			6.52	2-5
Y.Darvish			3.31	7-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 6-14	+1.5	-1.5+160	o9+100	+102
Braves 8-9	u8.5	+1.5-190	u9-120	-121

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9-120

1.2u

Under 9-120

$1200.00

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.15u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Under 5 (F5)-120

1.2u

Under 9-110

0.55u

ATL -116

0.58u

Bet to -120

Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Braves RPs with RISP over the last week -- second best in MLB. The Padres are batting just .111 with RISP over the last week -- worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Michael Harris has a swing rate of 46% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .200 (3-for-15) against Yu Darvish on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (60/437) of left-handed batters he faced since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (13/18) against Yu Darvish on elevated fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 38% -- 0 Percentile.

Yu Darvish has a strike rate of 74% (136/184) -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (38/66) against Bryce Elder this season -- 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 94th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	SD	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	SD -218
May 15th	CHC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -185
May 14th	CHC	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -198
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	99	7	9	0
LA.Morejon, P	8	1	2	0
RS.Kolek, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	2
2D.Solano, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	3-4	2	0	1
3J.Azocar, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Machado, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
5T.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5T.Wade, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5T.Wade, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7J.Merrill, CF	1-5	0	0	1
8L.Campusano, C	1-5	1	1	1
9H.Kim, SS	2-4	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	93	3	3	6
LR.Kerr, P	64	3.1	4	2
RJ.Chavez, P	19	0.2	1	0
LD.Lee, P	12	1	1	0
RL.Williams, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	0
5O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0
7Z.Short, 3B	0-3	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-3	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	1-3	1	0