Padres vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2024

Padres at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSE

San Diego Padres

6-14

3 - 1

Atlanta Braves

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 6-14	+1.5-112	o8-115	+180
Braves 8-9	-1.5-108	u8-105	-218

Friday 11:20 p.m.

May 17, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

SD +1.5-115

0.43u

SD +185

0.46u

Under 8-105

0.95u

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases-105

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -129

M.Fried u2.5 BB-155

1.55u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

Under 8.5-106

0.5u

Under 8.5-106

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

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Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 2.3 runs per game over the last week -- second lowest in MLB (6 games). The Padres have scored just 2.2 runs per game over the last week -- lowest in MLB (6 games).

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The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Ha-seong Kim is slugging just .385 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed a SLG of just .318 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.2 MPH (87 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	CHC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -185
May 14th	CHC	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -198
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108
May 11th	@NYM	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -155

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	98	5.2	10	1
LY.Matsui, P	17	0.2	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	7	0.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	17	1	2	0
RJ.Estrada, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-5	1	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	1	0
3J.Profar, LF	2-5	1	1
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 1B	3-5	0	1
5M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	1
6X.Bogaerts, 2B	2-4	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-4	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	88	4.1	2	3
LA.Bummer, P	25	1.2	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	16	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-2	0	0
5C.Tromp, C	1-2	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-2	0	0
8A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0
8A.Duvall, LF	0-1	0	0
9Z.Short, 3B	0-3	0	0