Rangers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Rangers at Royals

11:40 pm • BSKC

Texas Rangers

0-0

1 - 7

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Singer			3.71	9-13
M.Lorenzen			1.57	2-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 0-0	-1.5+164	o8.5-116	+100
Royals 3-3	+1.5-191	u8.5-104	-119

Friday 11:40 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 9-107

TEX +100

TEX -105 (F5)

1.05u

TEX +103

B.Singer u4.5 Ks-138

0.69u

TEX +100

0.75u

Brady Singer underlying numbers still a concern despite successful first few starts. Expected ERA nearly 2 runs higher than actual & his LOB% is an unsustainable 86%… not to mention his BABIP is just .209 We have seen both an increase to BB% & the same barrel rate as last year (7.8%). Despite Ks up, his Stuff+ grades out below average (85)

Over 9+100

TEX +100

TEX +106 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -105

TEX +105

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +100

Featured Insight
The Rangers scored three or more runs in an inning 113 times (8%) last season -- second highest in MLB. Royals allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed just 0.8 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- third lowest in MLB (24 games). The Rangers have scored just 0.6 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- second lowest in MLB (22 games).

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Friday
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May 3, 2024 UTC
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The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Corey Seager is batting .336 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Brady Singer has thrown a breaking pitch 43% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Maikel Garcia has an OPS of just .675 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Kirby Yates has allowed an OPS of just .558 (296 PAs) since last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Brady Singer has walked 10 of 54 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Michael Lorenzen when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- tied for 4th best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 -- 93rd Percentile.

Brady Singer has walked 10 of 54 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 8% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@TOR	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	KC +120
Apr 30th	@TOR	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	KC +107
Apr 29th	@TOR	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR +142
Apr 28th	@DET	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	DET +145
Apr 27th	@DET	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8	DET -108

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Lorenzen, P	86	6	3	1
RC.Winn, P	24	0.1	0	4
RJ.Urena, P	14	0.2	0	2
RY.Rodriguez, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-4	1	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-4	0	1
3N.Lowe, 1B	0-4	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-4	0	0
5E.Carter, LF	1-3	0	0
6J.Smith, 3B	0-4	0	0
7T.Jankowski, DH	1-4	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	1-4	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Singer, P	105	6	8	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	23	1	1	0
LA.Zerpa, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Selby, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	1	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4S.Perez, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
5M.Massey, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
6F.Fermin, C	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Melendez, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7D.Blanco, PR	0-1	1	0	0
7D.Blanco, LF	0-1	1	0	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	1-3	1	1	1
9K.Isbel, CF	2-4	1	0	1