Red Sox vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024

Red Sox at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Boston Red Sox

31-35

1 - 4

New York Mets

41-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 31-35	-1.5+160	o8-115	-104
Mets 41-24	+1.5-192	u8-105	-117

Monday 11:10 p.m.

September 02, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases+115

NYM o3.5 Team Total-132

Over 8-105

1.05u

Under 8-105

0.95u

.tsa windy unders Overall: 717-478-46,60% (ROI:15%) Season:29-27-1,52% (ROI:1%)

NYM -115

0.87u

Under 8.5-125

$1600.00

NYM -120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

BOS o1.5 Team Total (F5)-150

1.5u

Layin’ The 🧃

Under 8-105

0.48u

Flat to -110

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 57% of their games this season -- second highest in MLB. Mets have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 29% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 18-19 (.486) after a home loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Red Sox are just 55-48 (.534) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

Jarren Duran is batting .295 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .289 (139-for-481) against Luis Severino since last season -- tied for third worst among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .525 since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .497 vs left-handed batters since last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (80/471) against Brayan Bello since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (89/448) against Luis Severino this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .330 (230 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 -- 14th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 62% (395/637) in two strike counts this season -- 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 11th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 17-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Mets' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	35-30	18-13	17-17	23-24	12-6
Red Sox	32-34	15-18	17-16	20-23	12-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	23-41-1	11-19-1	12-22	20-26-1	3-15
Red Sox	31-34-1	14-18-1	17-16	19-23-1	12-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	41-24	24-7	17-17	32-15	9-9
Red Sox	31-35	17-16	14-19	22-21	9-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 1st	@CWS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -182
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -196
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -219
Aug 29th	@ARI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM +105
Aug 29th	@ARI	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 9	ARI +105

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P		91	5	4	4
RJ.Winckowski, P		48	3	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	1
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-0	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, SS	0-0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	1-3	0	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	1-3	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-3	0	0
7C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0
7M.Gasper, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	100	7	5	1
LD.Young, P	21	1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-3	1	1
2B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	1
2B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	1
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0
4J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0
5J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	1	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	0-3	0	0
8D.Stewart, LF	1-3	1	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	2-3	1	0