Reds vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Reds at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Cincinnati Reds

70-70

1 - 5

Seattle Mariners

73-67

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 70-70	+1.5-191	o7.5-107	+110
Mariners 73-67	-1.5+160	u7.5-112	-130

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

A.Abbott o5.5 Ks-125

SEA -127

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -136

B.Miller o5.5 Ks-130

B.Miller o6.5 Ks+120

0.6u

SEA -125 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -127

Featured Insight
Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mariners allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. The Reds scored first in just 43% of their games last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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NRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are 29-20 (.592) after a road win since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an OPS of just .343 with two strikes this season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .284 (36 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Cal Raleigh struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Fernando Cruz had a strikeout rate of 35% last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 30% (11 SO in 37 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season -- tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 26-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Mariners' 68 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	55-85	29-39	26-46	32-64	22-19
Reds	70-68	35-34	35-34	26-35	44-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	75-59-6	34-29-5	41-30-1	47-43-6	26-15
Reds	53-77-8	25-39-5	28-38-3	18-40-3	34-37-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	73-67	41-27	32-40	51-45	20-21
Reds	70-70	37-32	32-37	33-28	36-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7	SEA -135
Apr 16th	CIN	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7	SEA -142
Apr 14th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -142
Apr 14th	CHC	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC +120
Apr 13th	CHC	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -130

Nick Lodolo
SP
Nick Lodolo (illness) has been scratched Tuesday. Scott Barlow will now open for the Reds.
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	104	6	6	2
RL.Sims, P	36	0.2	1	3
RA.Diaz, P	20	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Benson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	1
7T.Stephenson, C	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Martini, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	91	6	7	1
RT.Thornton, P	17	1	1	0
LG.Speier, P	15	1	3	0
RA.Voth, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	2-5	0	0	0
2M.Haniger, RF	1-5	1	0	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	1	1
5T.France, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Raleigh, C	1-2	1	1	2
7D.Moore, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, PH	1-2	1	1	1
8J.Rojas, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
9J.Clase, LF	0-3	1	0	0