Reds vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Reds at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

1 - 5

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-191	o7.5-107	+110
Mariners 0-0	-1.5+160	u7.5-112	-130

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

A.Abbott o5.5 Ks-125

SEA -127

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -136

B.Miller o5.5 Ks-130

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

B.Miller o6.5 Ks+120

0.6u

SEA -130 (F5)

1.3u

SEA -125 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -127

Featured Insight
Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mariners allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. The Reds scored first in just 43% of their games last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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NRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are 29-20 (.592) after a road win since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an OPS of just .343 with two strikes this season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .284 (36 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Cal Raleigh struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Fernando Cruz had a strikeout rate of 35% last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 30% (11 SO in 37 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season -- tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7	SEA -135
Apr 16th	CIN	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7	SEA -142
Apr 14th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -142
Apr 14th	CHC	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC +120
Apr 13th	CHC	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -130

Sam Haggerty
OF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	104	6	6	2
RL.Sims, P	36	0.2	1	3
RA.Diaz, P	20	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Benson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	1
7T.Stephenson, C	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Martini, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	91	6	7	1
RT.Thornton, P	17	1	1	0
LG.Speier, P	15	1	3	0
RA.Voth, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	2-5	0	0	0
2M.Haniger, RF	1-5	1	0	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	1	1
5T.France, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Raleigh, C	1-2	1	1	2
7D.Moore, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, PH	1-2	1	1	1
8J.Rojas, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
9J.Clase, LF	0-3	1	0	0