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Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2025

Twins at Guardians

5:10 pm • MNNT

Minnesota Twins

32-27
3
3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

32-26
4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ben Lively logoB.LivelyCleveland Guardians logo3.222-2
Simeon Woods Richardson logoS.Woods RichardsonMinnesota Twins logo5.022-2

Twins at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins
32-27
-1.5
-1.5+136
o9-119
-130
Guardians
32-26
u8.5
+1.5-162
u9-102
+110
location pinThursday 5:10 p.m.
May 01, 2025
Progressive FieldCleveland
Twins vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 31-32-0 (+1.3u)
Over 6.5 (Live)-120
0.83u
Value
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 23-34-0 (-1.7u)
S.Woods Richardson u4.5 Ks-130
0.58u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 75-70-0 (+3.5u)
Over 9-110
1u
Both starters: 4+ ERA, neither with a quality start this season. Wind blowing out in Cleveland – runs incoming. Guardians strong at home – 10-5 at Progressive, scoring jumps by 1.2 runs/game. Lively shaky – 4.40 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 0 QS in 6 starts. Woods Richardson solid v CLE before, but gave up 2 HRs to them last time. Bullpens middling. Guardians bats heating up – Twins inconsistent – 13 hits in last 2 games after offensive burst. Both teams can mash when dialed in, shaky arms make Over 9 the sharp side.
CLE +100
1u
Twins road woes continue — 4-12 away. Cleveland thrives at home (10-5) and feeds off momentum. Bo Naylor + Manzardo homers? Bats are waking up at the right time. Twins start Woods Richardson (4.07 ERA) — gave up 1 run last outing but shaky overall. 2.12 ERA vs CLE in 3 starts, but this Guardians lineup has improved. Ben Lively (4.40 ERA) hasn't had a quality start, yet CLE has won 4 of his 6 starts. He limits damage just enough. Twins offense inconsistent — Guardians rolling, manager Vogt boosting morale. CLE’s clutch hitting + crowd energy = big edge. Momentum matters, and right now it’s with the Guards.
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 118-87-1 (+17.8u)
MIN -107
1.07u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 40-58-0 (-22.3u)
Over 9-108
1.08u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 118-87-1 (+17.8u)
Over 8.5-118
1.18u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 136-134-7 (+0.5u)
Over 9-105
0.53u
take 8.5 (-118) where available but majority of market at 9: bet to -117
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 102-60-2 (+73.8u)
Over 9-108
1u
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Twins vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Twins

Public

Home Logo

Guardians

43%

Bets%

57%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Guardians are 15-16 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Guardians' 28 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians		29-3014-1415-1611-1118-18
Twins		35-2517-918-1622-1613-9

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians		26-30-312-15-114-15-212-1014-19-3
Twins		21-35-48-17-113-18-314-22-27-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians		32-2717-1115-1615-717-19
Twins		33-2718-815-1923-1510-12

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 30thMINW 4-2+1.5 WU 7CLE -110
Apr 29thMINW 2-1-1.5 LU 8CLE -135
Apr 28thMINL 1-11-1.5 LO 8MIN -125
Apr 27thBOSL 3-13+1.5 LO 7.5BOS +100
Apr 26thBOSL 3-7+1.5 LO 7.5BOS +102

Guardians vs. Twins Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Ben Lively
    SP

    Lively is out with elbow

    Out

  • Shane Bieber
    SP

    Bieber is out with elbow

    Out

  • John Means
    SP

    Means is out with elbow

    Out

Twins Injuries

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    Twins vs. Guardians Box Score
    Twins Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Simeon Woods Richardson logoRS.Woods Richardson, P984.242
    Cole Sands logoRC.Sands, P181.110
    Louis Varland logoRL.Varland, P12110
    Griffin Jax logoRG.Jax, P14120
    Jhoan Duran logoRJ.Duran, P24130
    Justin Topa logoRJ.Topa, P120.101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Edouard Julien logo1E.Julien, 2B1-4000
    Ryan Jeffers logo1R.Jeffers, PH0-0000
    DaShawn Keirsey logo1D.Keirsey, PR0-0000
    DaShawn Keirsey logo1D.Keirsey, RF0-0000
    Carlos Correa logo2C.Correa, SS2-5001
    Byron Buxton logo3B.Buxton, CF2-5000
    Trevor Larnach logo4T.Larnach, DH0-4000
    Ty France logo5T.France, 1B3-5000
    Mickey Gasper logo5M.Gasper, PR0-0100
    Mickey Gasper logo5M.Gasper, 1B0-0100
    Brooks Lee logo6B.Lee, 3B1-5000
    Brooks Lee logo6B.Lee, 2B1-5000
    Harrison Bader logo7H.Bader, LF3-5100
    Kody Clemens logo8K.Clemens, RF0-3000
    Jonah Bride logo8J.Bride, PH0-1001
    Jonah Bride logo8J.Bride, 3B0-1001
    Christian Vazquez logo9C.Vazquez, C1-3101
    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Ben Lively logoRB.Lively, P915.220
    Jakob Junis logoRJ.Junis, P190.202
    Hunter Gaddis logoRH.Gaddis, P190.210
    Joey Cantillo logoLJ.Cantillo, P240.210
    Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P251.100
    Kolby Allard logoLK.Allard, P14100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF0-4100
    Gabriel Arias logo2G.Arias, 2B0-3100
    Gabriel Arias logo2G.Arias, SS0-3100
    Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, DH1-5101
    Kyle Manzardo logo4K.Manzardo, 1B1-3001
    Jhonkensy Noel logo5J.Noel, RF1-4111
    Angel Martinez logo5A.Martinez, PH1-1001
    Daniel Schneemann logo6D.Schneemann, CF1-2000
    Daniel Schneemann logo6D.Schneemann, 2B1-2000
    Will Wilson logo7W.Wilson, 3B1-4000
    Brayan Rocchio logo8B.Rocchio, SS0-2000
    Nolan Jones logo8N.Jones, PH0-1000
    Nolan Jones logo8N.Jones, CF0-1000
    Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C0-2000
    Bo Naylor logo9B.Naylor, PH0-1000
    Bo Naylor logo9B.Naylor, C0-1000

    Twins vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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    Twins at Guardians Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Twins
    32-27
    o4.5-126
    u4.5-102
    Guardians
    32-26
    o4.5+107
    u4.5-137