Pacers vs. Knicks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 24, 2025

Pacers at Knicks

12:00 am • TNT

Indiana Pacers

2-1

114

114 - 109

New York Knicks

1-2

109

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pacers 2-1	+5	+6-109	o224-110	+200
Knicks 1-2	u227.5	-6-111	u224-110	-245

Saturday 12:00 a.m.

May 24, 2025

Madison Square GardenNew York

NYK -2.5 (Live)-112

1.12u

NYK +100 (Live)

IND +6+103

3.09u

#dq

IND +6+103

2.06u

#dq

NYK -5.5-110

J.Brunson o29.5 Pts-112

T.Haliburton u9.5 Ast-118

0.59u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

T.Haliburton u9.5 Ast-118

1.18u

This obviously isn’t for the faint of heart — we all know Haliburton is one of the top assist guys in the league, which is why his line is so high. He had 11 assists on 20 potential in Game 1, but only 9 of those came in regulation, with two more in OT. Game 1 he got to play 5 extra minutes (thanks to his foot being on the line on the best shot of his career) and the Pacers put up 138 points. Tonight, the team total is about 30 points lower, which naturally brings his assist ceiling down. His pass rate was down a bit in Game 1, with a noticeable increase in passes to Nembhard (those passes have the lowest odds to result in assists for TH because they are usually meant for AN to take the ball up/set up a play most of the time). I’m projecting him at 8.9 assists, with fair value on the under closer to -145.

NYK -3.5 (1H)-115

0.75u

Knicks home 1h +10 net in regular season, pacers road 1h -6. G1 ended in disaster but lots of reasons to feel good about the Knicks bouncing back and being plenty live going forward.

J.Hart Triple-Double Yes+1300

0.25u

I make this around +450 so just taking a shot. Assists toughest but led NYK in potentials and Brunson has only 6. He’s gonna have one this series, why not now?

J.Hart Triple-Double Yes+1300

0.25u

M.McBride o1.5 3pt M+150

0.3u

K.Towns o11.5 Rebs-105

1.05u

K.Towns To Make 2+ Threes Yes-156

0.64u

Under 224.5-105

2.86u

Under 224.5-108

0.31u

NYK -6-110

1.1u

NYK -5.5-115

2.3u

J.Brunson u7.5 Ast-150

Under 7.5 in 8 of 12 playoff games this year and 7 of last 8 playoff games vs IND dating back to last year. 6 potential AST in 38 min in G1 so margin for error even with potential playmaking/turnover regression.

O.Toppin o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

14.7 PRA in 20.3 min in 3g vs NYK this season, over 12.5 in 3-of-3. Could see uptick in mins after posting team high +16 in 4q/OT and closing game with starters.

J.Brunson o36.5 Pts+Ast-125

M.McBride u7.5 Pts-110

T.Haliburton o29.5 Pts+Ast-105

1.05u

A.Nesmith o12.5 Pts-115

1.15u

IND +6-110

0.91u

Brunson/Bridges/OG/Hart/KAT 5-man lineup only +2.9 in 941 reg szn minutes, -9.0 in 291 playoff mins. (IND starting 5 +15.5 postseason, +8.3 reg.) IND 9-2 this postseason, +5.3 Net Rtg NYK 8-5, +0.6 Game 1 favs that lose by 1 possession 6-13-1 (32%) ATS in Game 2 since '05.

NYK -5-120

1.2u

NYK -5.5-115

1.15u

Fade over performing dogs Overall: 96-39-2,71% (ROI:37%) Season:9-7-0,56% (ROI:7%)

IND +6-107

0.93u

J.Brunson o2.5 3pt M+120

0.6u

Faded him in G1 but this price is too much of an overreaction

A.Nembhard o11.5 Pts-102

0.98u

M.Bridges o16.5 Pts-106

0.94u

Bridge troll

K.Towns o23.5 Pts-107

1.07u

M.Bridges o3.5 Ast-140

0.35u

A.Nembhard u16.5 Pts+Ast-114

0.31u

J.Hart o10.5 Rebs+105

0.33u

C.Payne u0.5 Ast+135

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Aaron Nesmith over 3.5 Personal Fouls-150

0.67u

This is juicy but Nesmith plays extremely physical defense and the Pacers need him out there for his defense on Brunson and his ability to stretch the floor on offense. Nesmith has averaged 4.1 personal fouls per game during the Playoffs and has at least 3 in every game with 4+ in 8/11 games. He had 5 in Game 1 and now over the last two postseasons he’s recorded 4+ in 6/8 against the Knicks. In 13 games including the regular season he has 3.9 per game and clears this line in 9/13. The physicality is necessary for his success, but it also goes hand in hand with picking up fouls. Over 3.5 fouls is not even a fade of Nesmith, rather it’s a bet that he is entrusted with this role.

K.Towns o23.5 Pts-112

The Knicks are down 0-1 in the conference finals after a miraculous comeback by the Indiana Pacers. Despite the loss, the Knicks were able to score effectively on offense throughout the entire game. One player that we bet on last game and we are going to do so again is Karl Anthony Towns. KAT has torched Indiana this season scoring 21, 30, 40, and 35 points in four games against them. They simply do not have a great option to stop his unique combination of interior scoring while simultaneously stretching the floor. I’m expecting a maximum effort from KAT tonight.

Under 226-110

2.73u

NYK -6-110

1.1u

Over 110.5 (1H)-108

1.08u

NYK -5.5-113

1.13u

Misclick on the other slip, disregard it. Can’t edit/delete it. Betting -5.5.

NYK -6-110

0.45u

NYK +5.5-113

NYK -5.5-110

T.Haliburton o19.5 Pts-125

1.25u

IND +210

0.21u

IND +5.5-105

0.31u

A.Nesmith u4.5 Rebs+120

0.55u

NYK -5.5-111

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NBA Public Betting

Knicks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Knicks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Knicks are 19-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Knicks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Knicks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Knicks	39-41-2	20-19-2	19-22	33-30-2	6-11
Pacers	36-44-2	17-22-2	19-22	20-28-2	16-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Knicks	42-40	22-19	20-21	33-32	9-8
Pacers	45-37	21-20	24-17	23-27	21-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Knicks	8-6	N/A	N/A	47-18	4-13
Pacers	10-2	N/A	N/A	35-15	15-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 22nd	IND	L 135-138	-4.5 L	O 221.5	IND -190
May 17th	BOS	W 119-81	-3 W	U 210.5	NYK -155
May 14th	@BOS	L 102-127	+5 L	O 208	BOS +165
May 12th	BOS	W 121-113	+5.5 W	O 208.5	NYK +198
May 10th	BOS	L 93-115	+6 L	U 210	BOS +205

Isaiah Jackson
SF
Jackson is out with achilles
Out

Enrique Freeman
SF
Freeman is questionable with illness
Questionable

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scoring
Jalen Brunson
36
ppg
rebounding
Mitchell Robinson
9
rpg
assists
Jalen Brunson
11
apg
shooting
Mitchell Robinson
66.7
fg%

Pacers

Knicks

43-83 (52%)

Field Goals

40-84 (48%)

15-21 (71%)

Free Throws

18-21 (86%)

13-30 (43%)

11-32 (34%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Pacers 2-1	o108.5-114	u108.5-105
Knicks 1-2	o115-108	u115-111

Pacers vs. Knicks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 24, 2025

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