Arizona vs. K State Odds & Betting Predictions - September 14, 2024
Arizona at K State
12:00 am • FOXArizona at K State Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona 3-3 | +7.5 | +7-115 | o61-110 | +210 |
K State 5-1 | u54.5 | -7-105 | u61-110 | -258 |
Saturday 12:00 a.m.
September 14, 2024Bill Snyder Family StadiumManhattan
Arizona vs. K State Expert Picks
Lines at Lunch
30d ago
Last 30d: 105-97-0 (+1.3u)
ARI +7.5 (Live)-122
1.22u
@rsura_
Mjaybrod
30d ago
Last 30d: 95-128-0 (-25.6u)
Under 61.5-111
0.9u
Hey Biev I’m right there with you
Sean Zerillo
30d ago
Last 30d: 167-186-7 (-2.8u)
ARI +7.5-109
0.55u
Shady Biev
30d ago
Last 30d: 98-92-1 (+21.7u)
Under 60.5-107
1u
YBK Picks.com
30d ago
Last 30d: 57-43-3 (+21.8u)
Over 60.5-105
3u
Picks Office
30d ago
Last 30d: 55-62-1 (-12.3u)
Over 60.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
.The passing game, led by Noah Fifita and wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, has indeed been lethal. Arizona averages 297.5 yards through the air per game. McMillan has been a man amongst boys, making an early case for Heisman contention after setting a record in Week 1. The matchup for this passing game is really good against the Kansas State defense, as the Wildcats rank 128th in Defensive Passing Success Rate, which will present multiple opportunities at explosive plays for this high-powered offense.
On the other side, Kansas State's ground game, led by QB Avery Johnson and RB DJ Giddens is for real. The Wildcats average 249 rushing yards per game, exploiting their dynamic duo as Giddens goes over 5 yards per carry. Arizona's defense has been exposed on the ground, allowing over 200 rushing yards in their opener against New Mexico. They rank 69th in Stuff Rate and 77th in Line Yards, further underlining how often they have failed to stop the run this season. Kansas State should go on to capitalize on those problems for some drives that consistently move the chains.
Defensively, both teams carry gaps that should lend to the over: Arizona's defense has already allowed an average of 25 points per game, even against inferior opponents. Meanwhile, Kansas State ranks near dead last in third-down defense, allowing Arizona to sustain drives and keep the scoreboard moving with extended possessions that wear down defenses and provide ample opportunity for both sides to pile on the points.
Such has typically been the case in recent history with this being a series of over-performing teams. Arizona's game with New Mexico saw an astonishing 100 combined points, while Kansas State's game with Tulane reached 61. Both teams have shown they can score, and the weaknesses in their respective defenses will only accelerate that trend. With Arizona allowing significant yardage on the ground and Kansas State being poor against the pass, there's little indication that either side will be capable of halting the other on a consistent basis.
That, combined with the egregious defensive weaknesses, means all that talent on offense points to a high-scoring affair where both teams find their way to the end zone in droves. With a proficient Arizona passing game and a potent Kansas State rushing attack, there is a perfect recipe for the over to hit comfortably.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
30d ago
Last 30d: 158-167-2 (-12.0u)
Under 61-112
0.89u
#ProSystem
. windy unders cool to low temps
Overall: 1147-854-23,57% (ROI:11%)
Season:8-4-0,67% (ROI:29%)
Prop Bet Guy
30d ago
Last 30d: 81-67-0 (+6.0u)
A.Johnson o48.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
KSU should have a strong run game advantage in this one - of course that is good for RB DJ Giddens, but I do expect to see QB Avery Johnson use his legs more as well. In an up and down game where KSU should win the TOP battle (because Zona will lean on the passing game), o have Johnson at 13 true rush attempts tonight.
Play to over 52.5.
Firefighter Bets
30d ago
Last 30d: 90-93-0 (-11.3u)
N.Fifita o269.5 Pass Yds-120
1u
ARI +7-111
1u
Shady Biev
30d ago
Last 30d: 98-92-1 (+21.7u)
KSU u34.5 Team Total-125
1.5u
💰🦡 Jake
30d ago
Last 30d: 80-84-1 (-3.3u)
ARI u26.5 Team Total-110
1u
Scott Rickenbach
30d ago
Last 30d: 57-53-0 (-7.3u)
KSU -6.5-122
0.82u
Boomer Betz
30d ago
Last 30d: 143-136-1 (-2.6u)
Under 30.5 (1H)-108
0.93u
Babs .
30d ago
Last 30d: 79-57-1 (+13.9u)
Over 58-125
1u
Sandy Plashkes
30d ago
Last 30d: 121-108-3 (+19.7u)
ARI +7-110
1.1u
Babs .
30d ago
Last 30d: 79-57-1 (+13.9u)
N.Fifita o265.5 Pass Yds-115
1.74u
Moneyline Hacks
31d ago
Last 30d: 146-114-3 (+67.2u)
KSU -7-113
0.88u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
31d ago
Last 30d: 158-167-2 (-12.0u)
KSU -7-110
0.91u
.tsa ranked teams take the home fav
Overall: 206-123-7,63% (ROI:21%)
Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:
Charlie DiSturco
32d ago
Last 30d: 68-102-0 (+6.5u)
ARI o25.5 Team Total-110
1.1u
BJ Cunningham
32d ago
Last 30d: 125-105-16 (+13.7u)
Over 59.5-110
1.1u
Collin Whitchurch
32d ago
Last 30d: 179-153-3 (+10.7u)
Over 59.5-110
0.55u
Mike Calabrese
32d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-2.2u)
ARI +7.5-120
1.2u
Collin Wilson
32d ago
Last 30d: 82-78-4 (-5.5u)
Over 59-110
1.1u
Full write up coming to Action. Both offenses w extreme advantages. Arizona expected to have Center back, resolve OL issues for Fifita to attack Quartrers/Cover1 with McMillan. Kansas State rush offense no expected hurdles with Zona defensive front
Collin Whitchurch
33d ago
Last 30d: 179-153-3 (+10.7u)
ARI +7.5-110
0.55u
Ryan Sura
35d ago
Last 30d: 95-112-3 (-19.9u)
ARI +7-122
1.1u
Collin Wilson
35d ago
Last 30d: 82-78-4 (-5.5u)
ARI +7.5-115
1.15u
Project Kansas State -3.5; Wildcats severe issues defending the pass, specifically explosives. Arizona already 18th in Pass EPA
Arizona vs. K State Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Arizona vs. K State Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- K State are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- K State are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- K State are 0-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of K State' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of K State' 3 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
268
YDS
156
26/42
Comps/Atts
14/23
6.380952380952381
YPA
6.782608695652174
0/1
TDs/INTs
2/0
1/5
Sacks/Yards
3/16
Arizona vs. K State Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Arizona at K State Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Arizona 3-3 | o26.5-125 | u26.5-110 |
K State 5-1 | o34.5-115 | u34.5-120 |