Dolphins vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 7, 2025

Miami vice grip

Darren Waller ⬆️ 24.5 Receiving Yards (-110 @ 365)(MIA) Collab w/ @SC_FFB 🤝 We hopped on this when we saw it because we knew it would move. In his first game back off of the injury Waller registered 47 receiving yards on 2 catches (3 targets). He ran a route on 73% of drop backs, which should uptick some this week as he ramps back up from injury. He's averaging 13.7 yards per catch this season. Waller crushed in his first meeting with the Jets this season, catching 3 balls for 27 yards and two touchdowns on just 16 snaps! The Jets just allowed Kyle Pitts to catch 7 passes for 82 yards. Without Hill this has become a pretty concentrated passing offense, which has included Waller when healthy. We should get this on a few catches.

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker - can get o67.5 on Sleeper if you play there

Projecting him closer to 75.5 with around a 59% chance he clears 69.5

I bet the Jets the last two weeks and, believe it or not, New York actually has the best record against the spread in the AFC at 8-4, but this one is all about the matchups. The Jets are the run-heaviest team in the league. That should be the case even more against Anthony Weaver's Dolphins defense, which is setup to invite the run, and it's all wrong in this spot. Miami's roster is barren of talent in the secondary. The Dolphins rank 30th in DVOA in passing defense and can't stop a nose bleed in the air, but they're quite good defending the run. In fact, Miami ranks best in the league against the run over the last six games, and top 10 overall as a team in that stretch. Everyone left the Dolphins for dead after their bad start, but Mike McDaniel has rebuilt this offense around explosive DeVon Achane runs and a stout run defense. The Jets defense has been awful, bottom five against both the run and pass over the last six games, and they can't pressure the quarterback and get smoked against motion. Miami runs more motion than any team in the league. The Jets defense has also been remarkably worse at home this season, and Miami's offense has been better early in games, so this all sets up for a script where Miami gets on the front foot early and New York doesn't have the guns to fight back. Miami has won 13 of 16 against the Jets, and the Dolphins have scored 28.6 PPG in the last five meetings. This is the spot where you trust Tua Tagovailoa and Mike McDaniel, as favorites against bad teams. If the line hits three and you prefer to duck the key number, a first-half play could make sense. The Dolphins are 3-9 ATS in the second half, tied for worst in the NFL, while the Jets are 8-4 there. But with Miami -2.5 full game available, I'll just back the better, hotter team with the right matchups to get the job done.

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Outside divisional game (***) Overall: 262-164-10,62% (ROI:19%) Season:7-1-0,88% (ROI:67%) Divisional Totals Early or Late in Szn Overall: 292-178-9,62% (ROI:20%) Season:15-6-0,71% (ROI:37%) Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift Overall: 542-414-12,57% (ROI:10%) Season:19-12-0,61% (ROI:18%)