Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Dolphins at Patriots

5:00 pm • FOX

Miami Dolphins

3-6

15 - 10

New England Patriots

3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 3-6	-4.5	-2-115	o36.5-125	-125
Patriots 3-7	u45	+2-110	u36.5-105	+110

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 06, 2024

Gillette StadiumFoxborough

MIA -120

0.33u

Under 36.5-110

J.Polk 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+470

0.1u

J.Polk 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+295

0.25u

J.Polk 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+180

0.5u

J.Polk o26.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

0.95u

MIA -2-105

1.9u

Under 36.5-110

0.5u

T.Hill 40+ Receiving Yards Yes-168

0.6u

MIA -120

0.83u

NE +1.5-110

0.5u

MIA -1.5-110

0.91u

As a New England native I don’t need to lookup historical data to know it gets ugly for the Patriots whenever the Dolphins come to town. I’ll always blindly take Dolphins spread whenever they visit the Patriots #NFLBestBets

New England D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+900

0.25u

Pick 6 incoming

MIA -1.5-108

2.78u

NE o17.5 Team Total+100

This play makes me absolutely sick

Over 36-105

2.1u

NE -105 (1H)

0.95u

#ProSystem 3 or 5 game streak home dog (1h) Overall: 111-123-0,47% (ROI:37%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

K.Bourne u12.5 Longest Reception-120

0.83u

J.Brissett u11.5 Rush Yds-115

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-5-player-prop-picks-for-tee-higgins-andy-dalton-tre-tucker-and-more

J.Polk o2.5 Recs-125

Under 30.5+200

Mineshaft! TAN pod / best bets

Under 36.5-110

0.91u

TAN pod / best bets

R.Stevenson u59.5 Rush Yds-115

In danger of losing snaps after fumbling in 4 straight + whole O-Line is on IR

Under 36.5-115

MIA +1.5-118

Featured Insight
The Dolphins have allowed a passer rating of 73.5 against a base front this season -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed a passer rating of 102.2 with a base front this season -- 7th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Patriots RBs have averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry this season -- 5th-best in NFL; the Dolphins have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season -- T-9th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Patriots are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Patriots are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Patriots are 3-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Patriots' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Patriots' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Patriots	4-5-1	1-2-1	3-2	N/A	4-5-1
Dolphins	3-6	0-4	3-2	1-4	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Patriots	5-5	3-1	1-4	N/A	5-5
Dolphins	3-6	2-2	1-4	2-3	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Patriots	3-7	N/A	N/A	N/A	3-7
Dolphins	3-6	N/A	N/A	2-3	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@SF	L 13-30	+10.5 L	O 42.5	SF +425
Sep 20th	@NYJ	L 3-24	+6.5 L	U 39.5	NYJ +240
Sep 15th	SEA	L 20-23	+3 L	O 39.5	SEA +135
Sep 8th	@CIN	W 16-10	+8 W	U 40.5	NE +297
Aug 26th	@WAS	L 10-20	-6.5 L	U 36.5	WAS -298

Yannick Ngakoue
LB
Ngakoue is out with personal
Out
Kyle Dugger
S
Dugger is out with ankle
Out
Christian Elliss
LB
Elliss is out with abdomen
Out

Alec Ingold
FB
Ingold is questionable with calf
Questionable
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Patrick McMorris
DB
McMorris is questionable with calf
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Patriots

372

Total Yards

299

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.4

Dolphins

Passing

Patriots

194

YDS

160

18/31

Comps/Atts

18/34

5.265

YPA

4.111

0/1

TDs/INTs

0/0

3/15

Sacks/Yards

2/12

Dolphins

Rushing

Patriots

193

Rush Yards

151

Attempts

4.707

YPC

7.947

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Patriots

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Patriots

1/2 50%

Redzone

0/2 0%

2/11 0%

3rd Down

4/13 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Patriots

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Patriots

6/54

Penalties/Yards

12/105

34:20

Possession

25:40

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 3-6	o19.5-110	u19.5-120
Patriots 3-7	o17.5-115	u17.5-115

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Dolphins at Patriots

Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots

Dolphins at Patriots Odds

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis

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Public

Patriots

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