The number in parentheses after each pick is my confidence rating out of 10.
NFL Underdog Fantasy Plays
In the table below, you'll find each of our NFL staff's top player picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Underdog Play |
|---|---|
| 10 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Chargers vs. 49ers
Sam Darnold (9)
Less Than 93.5 Passing Yards
Brock Purdy is expected to start this game, and I'm guessing we see Darnold for the rest of the first half. Then, we should see a ton of Trey Lance in what will be an audition for potential trades.
I love combining Darnold's under with Lance's over since they're highly correlated and both are offering a ton of value. I'm projecting Darnold for closer to 70.5 passing yards.
Pick: Sam Darnold Less Than 93.5 Passing Yards
Chargers vs. 49ers
Trey Lance (9)
More Than 81.5 Passing Yards
See above for the explanation on why I'm buying Lance tonight. I'm projecting him for closer to 115.5 passing yards.
Pick: Trey Lance More Than 81.5 Passing Yards
Editor's note: Lance was traded to the Cowboys before this game on Friday night and will not play for the 49ers.
Patriots vs. Titans
Raleigh Webb (8)
More Than 1.5 Receptions
The Patriots could be thin at wide receiver tonight once the starters are out. We could see Webb for a lot of this game against the Titans, and I think he has a very high floor in this market.
I'm projecting Webb for closer to 2-2.5 receptions.
Pick: Raleigh Webb More Than 1.5 Receptions
Patriots vs. Titans
Colton Dowell (8)
Less Than 1.5 Receptions
The Titans might be playing 9-10 receivers tonight, making this a crowded WR room. I have Dowell pretty low on the totem pole.
I'm projecting Dowell for closer to one reception tonight.
Pick: Colton Dowell Less Than 1.5 Receptions
Chargers vs. 49ers
Elijah Dotson (7)
More Than 35.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Dotson could see a ton of playing time in this game, mainly in the second half. He's been impressive this preseason, and I'm sure the Chargers want to give him one more shot to convince them that he should be on the 53-man roster.
I'm projecting Dotson for closer to 43 rushing and receiving yards.
