Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

6:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

1 - 0

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	-1.5+140	o7.5+100	-121
Brewers 3-6	+1.5-165	u7.5-120	+102

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

July 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

B.Reynolds o0.5 HR+460

0.25u

Over 3.5 (Live)-110

PIT -120

0.83u

Over 7.5-115

Under 7.5-105

MIL +100

MIL +107

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

MIL +105

Under 8-112

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-103)

MIL +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .828 this month -- fifth best in MLB. Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of .965 (150 PAs) this month -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since last season -- second lowest in MLB (254 games). The Pirates have scored just 4.3 runs per game since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (253 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 11, 2024 UTC
Our MLB Best Bets for Thursday Night
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Pirates vs Brewers: Bet Skenes, Pirates on the Run Line
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See more MLB Coverage

The Brewers are 27-13 (.675) at home this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Willy Adames is slugging .543 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Paul Skenes has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time this season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total NonFB-- 96th Percentile.

34% of Brice Turang strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 69% of Paul Skenes's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .886 (162 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 -- third Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (81 Total Bases / 150 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Pirates	90-72	48-33	42-39	19-26	69-45

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Pirates	61-92-9	33-43-5	28-49-4	17-26-2	42-65-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Pirates	71-91	44-37	27-54	22-23	48-66

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 11th	PIT	W 9-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -162
Jul 10th	PIT	L 2-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -162
Jul 7th	@LAD	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +150
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAD -108
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +180

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	99	7	11
RC.Holderman, P	26	1	3
LA.Chapman, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	0-0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	1	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	100	6.1	6	1
LB.Hudson, P	22	1.2	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7G.Mitchell, RF	1-2	0	0	0
8A.Monasterio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0