76ers vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2026

76ers at Celtics

11:00 pm • ESPN

Philadelphia 76ers

1-3

23 - 26

Boston Celtics

3-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
76ers 1-3	+11.5	+10.5-115	o214.5-110	+340
Celtics 3-1	u215.5	-10.5-105	u214.5-110	-450

Tuesday 11:00 p.m.

April 28, 2026

TD GardenBoston

Over 214.5-110

0.55u

N.Queta o7.5 Pts-122

0.55u

T.Maxey o24.5 Pts-127

32 PPG last 5 road playoff games and still scores 25+ in most games where he plays 40 min w Embiid

J.Tatum u6.5 Ast+116

0.43u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

J.Tatum o40.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

1.18u

PHI +11.5-115

V.Edgecombe To Score 15+ Points Yes+180

$0.95

PHI +10.5+106

J.Tatum u6.5 Ast+116

0.5u

Tatum has cleared this in all four games of the series, averaging 8.3 assists per game, but my Pass Mix analysis has him closer to 5.8 expected per game. That already bakes in his pretty significant increase in pass rate this series, which makes sense in a playoff setting with Tatum handling the ball more. Even after accounting for that, he’s still running hot in both potential assist rate and conversion rate. Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, and Neemias Queta have all been converting at unsustainably high rates off Tatum passes. Maybe it continues and he gets to 7+ again, but we’ve reached the point where the market feels inflated, I’d imagine 99% of the action has been on the over, and I’m willing to bite on the +116. I project him closer to 6.2 assists with around a 57% chance to stay under, with 6 assists his most likely outcome.

Over 214-110

Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy

BOS u112.5+103

0.75u

T.Maxey o2.5 3pt M-150

$1.50

D.White o2.5 3pt M+145

J.Tatum o24.5 Pts+100

S.Hauser o2.5 3pt M+165

0.43u

#EV 5.64% Pinny +132 BO +136

BOS -11-108

1.08u

P.Pritchard o13.5 Pts-125

P.Pritchard o13.5 Pts-120

1.2u

J.Tatum o30.5 Pts+Ast-115

0.29u

J.Tatum o30.5 Pts+Ast-110

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-tuesday-our-2-expert-picks-for-jayson-tatum-karl-anthony-towns-on-april-28

BOS -11.5-110

0.25u

@HPBasketball ⭐️ https://myaction.app/y25z9PSZH2b

PHI +12.5-105

0.25u

@wheatonbrando ⭐️ https://myaction.app/y25z9PSZH2b

PHI +11.5-105

0.5u

No faith in Philly whatsoever, just the usual trend betting against the overconfident Celtics: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-picks-predictions-today-our-3-best-bets-for-celtics-76ers-knicks-hawks-tuesday-april-28

V.Edgecombe o11.5 Pts-116

1.16u

Under 213.5+102

PHI +11.5+102

BOS -11.5-110

0.55u

T.Maxey o2.5 3pt M-140

1.4u

J.Tatum o9.5 Rebs-128

$1.28

J.Tatum o9.5 Rebs-125

0.63u

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Celtics are 26-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Celtics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	49-33	23-18	26-15	34-24	15-9
76ers	43-38-1	19-22	24-16-1	27-17	16-21-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Celtics	30-52	15-26	15-26	21-37	9-15
76ers	40-42	20-21	20-21	25-19	15-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	3-1	N/A	N/A	44-14	12-12
76ers	1-3	N/A	N/A	34-10	11-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	@PHI	W 128-96	-6.5 W	O 212.5	BOS -225
Apr 24th	@PHI	W 108-100	-9 L	U 215.5	BOS -375
Apr 21st	PHI	L 97-111	-13.5 L	U 218.5	PHI -850
Apr 19th	PHI	W 123-91	-13 W	U 217	BOS -800
Apr 12th	ORL	W 113-108	+12.5 W	U 222	BOS +525