Alabama vs. Sooners Odds & Betting Predictions - December 20, 2025

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Live. Fan dual. Ok to 17. Tough sledding for the tide.

Obvious under

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Roll tide

The return of Jam Miller gives them a chance to run, even just as a change of pace. First meeting, when you take out sack yardage they ran for 89 yards and Hill had two rushing scores. BTW speaking of the first meeting, Parker Fleming’s “Did We Get Beat That Bad” net success rankings, Alabama was one of the most egregious “how did we lose that game” losers of 2025. Nearly doubled OU’s yards. Negative three in the turnover margin. They’re a better team against a half-team in OU, I’ll sign up DeBoer in a revenge spot. John Mateer has simply not been the same quarterback he was pre-injury. His legs give this offense a chance to move the football and finish off drives in the paint when they get inside the ten, but when it comes to spinning it, he just doesn’t have it lately. Mateer is a liability through the air when he’s not firing off passes in the quick game. Ben Arbuckle’s dink-and-dunk scheme keeps most of its action within a pickleball court (8.3 aDOT, 76th). When Mateer has pushed the ball beyond ten yards downfield, his efficiency has really fallen off. His throws that have flown between ten and twenty air yards downfield connect at just a 50.7% clip with nearly as many picks and touchdowns (5 TDs, 4 INTs). Deep shots have been even worse for Mateer, with a completion percentage of 31.4% on his tosses 20+ yards downfield. And critically, he’s given defenses plenty of chances to take the ball away since he sustained his hand injury. Since his return, post-surgery, he has had three big-time throws against 13 turnover-worthy plays.

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I really think this is Trouble for the Tide on the road with OU getting 3weeks to heal up/ get healthy along the OL and at RB. Not to mention Mateer getting some rest before suiting up for a playoff push. Venables with 2 weeks to scheme up a D for these guys.