Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2025
Horned Frogs at Tar Heels
12:00 am • ESPNHorned Frogs at Tar Heels Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Horned Frogs 9-4 | -3 | -3.5-112 | o54.5-122 | -180 |
Tar Heels 4-8 | u58.5 | +3.5-108 | u54.5-102 | +150 |

Kenan StadiumChapel Hill
Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels Expert Picks
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 18-17-0 (+0.7u)
Over 52.5 (Live)+118
1.18u
FD boost
John Feltman
Last 30d: 83-63-3 (+9.6u)
UNC o20.5 Team Total (Live)+100
1.75u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 62-51-7 (+3.7u)
Over 47.5 (Live)-125
0.08u
Live alert for a sweat here
Duck
Last 30d: 86-78-0 (-0.6u)
UNC +7.5 (Live)-137
0.33u
Fun bet. Let’s see how these guys can do while on the ropes.
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 98-113-3 (-16.5u)
UNC +3.5-106
1u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 33-31-2 (+2.2u)
Under 56-110
0.25u
Wynn LV
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 179-144-1 (+8.1u)
Under 27.5 (1H)-132
0.5u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 29-39-0 (-16.5u)
Under 27.5 (1H)+118
0.59u
Profit boost
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 9-9-0 (-1.6u)
TCU u14.5 Team Total (1H)-143
1.5u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 48-36-0 (+18.8u)
Under 54.5-105
2u
John Feltman
Last 30d: 83-63-3 (+9.6u)
Over 54-110
2.5u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 44-29-1 (+6.7u)
Over 53.5-110
0.5u
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 176-147-1 (+14.1u)
UNC +3.5-108
1u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-302-4 (-41.7u)
TCU -3-125
$1.00
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 32-63-0 (+10.6u)
UNC +150
3u
📚Player Profit
🔑 UNC ML +150 (Player Profit) 3u
🔨 time. In Bill we trust. The betting markets reflect some uncertainty: although most models tilt slightly toward TCU winning (Dimers projects a 55 % win probability for TCU), UNC actually holds a 58 % probability of covering the spread, suggesting value embedded in the underdog money line. Plus, this matchup marks the debut of Bill Belichick at UNC, a major narrative that could swing momentum in unexpected ways—Belichick’s presence injects both motivation and a strategic edge that bettors might be underestimating
Code: sirlocks for 10% off at playerprofit.com
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 176-147-1 (+14.1u)
UNC +2.5 (1H)+100
1u
UNC +0.5 (1Q)-122
0.82u
UNC +155
2u
UNC +3.5-108
2u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 111-111-1 (-21.9u)
UNC +3.5-110
1.65u
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 11-10-0 (-0.1u)
TCU -3.5-110
1u
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-1.4u)
Under 55.5-110
1.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 129-108-1 (+32.5u)
UNC +3.5-108
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
TCU -3.5-112
2u
TCU -2.5 (1H)-112
1u
Dan Gaspar
Last 30d: 11-14-3 (-4.8u)
D.Gause u69.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
J.Dwyer u3.5 Recs+116
1u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 41-30-0 (+8.1u)
TCU -3.5-110
1u
Kevin Thomas
Last 30d: 5-4-0 (+0.4u)
J.Shipp Anytime TD Scorer Yes+380
1u
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 268-256-5 (+23.6u)
UNC +3.5-104
1.5u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 33-14-3 (+15.9u)
Under 28 (1H)-115
1u
From BBOC Writeup
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 89-97-1 (+1.5u)
TCU -3.5+101
1.01u
Babs .
Last 30d: 65-44-0 (+15.5u)
Under 57.5-113
1u
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 1-3-0 (-4.8u)
UNC +3.5-115
1.15u
Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Tar Heels are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Tar Heels are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Tar Heels are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Tar Heels' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Tar Heels' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2-1 | 3-6 | |
| 6-5-1 | 4-2 | 2-3-1 | 6-3 | 0-1-1 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 5-4 | |
| 6-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | N/A | N/A | 3-0 | 1-8 | |
| 8-4 | N/A | N/A | 7-2 | 0-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
542
Total Yards
222
72
Total Plays
49
7.527777777777778
Yards Per Play
4.530612244897959
284
YDS
172
27/37
Comps/Atts
13/21
7.675675675675675
YPA
8.19047619047619
2/1
TDs/INTs
1/1
0/0
Sacks/Yards
2/13
5/58
Penalties/Yards
3/25
Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels Odds Comparison
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Horned Frogs at Tar Heels Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Horned Frogs 9-4 | o29.5-119 | u29.5-116 |
Tar Heels 4-8 | o26-113 | u26-119 |






