Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - December 26, 2025
Broncos at Chiefs
1:15 am • Amazon Prime VideoBroncos at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Broncos 14-3 | +4.5 | -13.5-110 | o37.5-120 | -1100 |
Chiefs 6-11 | u44.5 | +13.5-110 | u37.5-102 | +700 |

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Broncos vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 86-87-1 (+4.1u)
KC +13.5 (Live)-105
0.5u
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 30-25-1 (+3.3u)
Under 38-110
0.45u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 19-68-1 (-4.3u)
B.Nix 2+ TDs Yes+5000
0.15u
#Tailing @nick_giffen
B.Nix Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
2u
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.3u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-75-1 (-13.1u)
KC +13.5-105
0.5u
Luck Rankings A+
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 89-103-3 (-14.3u)
M.Brown o19.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 180-132-1 (+14.4u)
Under 37.5+100
0.5u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-267-5 (+2.2u)
M.Brown Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800
$0.40
KC +14-120
$1.00
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 46-33-0 (+22.0u)
DEN -13.5-105
2u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 177-150-5 (+11.1u)
Under 37-110
0.91u
Join Discord: https://discord.gg/NcyhmJVXPe
DEN -13-115
1u
Join Discord: https://discord.gg/NcyhmJVXPe
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 80-71-0 (+4.6u)
T.Kelce o39.5 Rec Yds-105
1u
Legacy last day in KC
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 95-86-1 (+1.5u)
Under 36.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 66-74-0 (-2.2u)
DEN -13.5-110
1.1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 70-74-1 (-11.2u)
Under 37.5-110
0.91u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 41-27-0 (+11.5u)
KC +13.5-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 122-98-1 (+33.5u)
KC +13.5-110
0.68u
#RLM
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 7-28-0 (-4.5u)
J.McLaughlin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+450
0.8u
A.Prentice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1700
0.2u
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 11-9-0 (+2.3u)
KC +13.5-105
0.95u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-267-5 (+2.2u)
T.Franklin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250
$1.00
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 46-35-0 (+1.5u)
I.Pacheco o11.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 136-99-0 (+63.0u)
Over 36.5-110
2u
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💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 63-91-2 (-32.7u)
KC +7 (1H)-106
1u
R.Harvey o53.5 Rush Yds-110
2.2u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-75-1 (-13.1u)
B.Nix Anytime TD Scorer Yes+430
2.15u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 113-109-1 (-15.4u)
KC +14-120
1u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 43-26-1 (+7.9u)
C.Oladokun o15.5 Rush Yds-110
0.55u
Oladokun is set to make his first career start after Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew both suffered season-ending injuries. Oladokun was a 7th-round pick by the Steelers back in 2022, and while we saw him drop back in relief last week 22 times, he’s also seen extensive action in the preseason over the last three seasons. As a preseason degenerate, I’ve seen most of his snaps over the years, and one thing he’s consistently flashed is his rushing upside.
In his 24 NFL dropbacks, he’s scrambled 3 times (12.5%) and averaged 4 yards per carry on those scrambles. In 99 preseason dropbacks, he’s scrambled 10 times (10%) while averaging 8.3 yards per scramble. Obviously that came against backups and softer defenses, but either way, he’s shown a willingness and ability to use his legs.
To put that into perspective, his ~10.5% scramble rate across 123 total regular-season and preseason dropbacks would rank 4th among qualified QBs this season, behind only Jayden Daniels, Tyrod Taylor, and Justin Fields. He doesn’t quite have the speed or burst of those QBs, but it’s important to note that he’s willing to take off if the situation calls for it.
Andy Reid will likely want to lean on the run and not put too much on Oladokun as a passer, but as 13.5-point home underdogs, we should still see a decent amount of dropbacks. I have him projected for around 34 dropbacks, which opens the door for 2–3 scrambles, if not more. That becomes even more likely against a Broncos defense that has generated the 2nd-highest pressure rate in the league. LT Josh Simmons is also done for the season, and his replacement, Esa Pole, has struggled, which could force Oladokun out of the pocket more often.
There’s obviously a wide range of outcomes here. Oladokun could struggle early and get benched for Shane Buechele, or he could continue to take sacks instead of scrambling like we saw at times last week. But I think there’s enough sneaky upside to take a flier on the over here. With the rest of this game being very tricky to cap, this is the angle I feel best about.
I’m projecting him closer to 19–20 rushing yards, with around a 59% chance to clear 15.5. Since there is a wide range of outcomes it also makes sense to take his alt overs but the market has done a fairly good job of pricing them, 30+ yards (+320) at FanDuel seems like the best value when looking at his alt overs as I’m projecting that closer to +290
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 9-11-0 (-3.5u)
KC +14-120
1u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 29-98-6 (-10.6u)
B.Nix Anytime TD Scorer Yes+470
2.35u
@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/oIyNoZLxmZb
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+440
0.5u
@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/oIyNoZLxmZb
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 21-23-0 (+3.0u)
KC +13.5-112
1u
@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/05h7a7RGlZb
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 89-103-3 (-14.3u)
C.Oladokun o147.5 Pass Yds-117
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 19-68-1 (-4.3u)
T.Franklin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240
0.5u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 116-129-0 (-22.2u)
B.Nix o12.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 30-25-1 (+3.3u)
Under 36.5-110
0.09u
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Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 61-48-7 (+4.4u)
KC +13-110
0.36u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 122-98-1 (+33.5u)
Under 36.5-105
1u
Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift
Overall: 546-422-12,56% (ROI:9%)
Season:23-20-0,53% (ROI:3%)
High Wind Low Total
Overall: 473-341-7,58% (ROI:12%)
Season:14-8-0,64% (ROI:
Broncos vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Broncos vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 1-6 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 9 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Broncos Injuries
- J.K. DobbinsRB
Dobbins is out with foot
Out

Chiefs Injuries
- Patrick MahomesQB
Mahomes is out with knee
Out
- Gardner MinshewQB
Minshew is out with knee
Out
- Tyquan ThorntonWR
Thornton is out with concussion
Out
- Isiah PachecoRB
Pacheco is out with rest
Out
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with concussion
Out
- Nikko RemigioWR
Remigio is out with knee
Out
- Xavier WorthyWR
Worthy is out with illness
Out
Team Stats
Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Broncos at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Broncos 14-3 | o26.5-105 | u26.5-120 |
Chiefs 6-11 | o12.5-110 | u12.5-115 |




