Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - December 26, 2025

Broncos at Chiefs

1:15 am • Amazon Prime Video
20 - 13

Broncos at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Broncos
14-3
+4.5
-13.5-110
o37.5-120
-1100
Chiefs
6-11
u44.5
+13.5-110
u37.5-102
+700
location pinFriday 1:15 a.m.
December 26, 2025
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Broncos vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 86-87-1 (+4.1u)
KC +13.5 (Live)-105
0.5u
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 30-25-1 (+3.3u)
Under 38-110
0.45u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 19-68-1 (-4.3u)
B.Nix 2+ TDs Yes+5000
0.15u
#Tailing @nick_giffen
B.Nix Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
2u
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.3u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-75-1 (-13.1u)
KC +13.5-105
0.5u
Luck Rankings A+
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 89-103-3 (-14.3u)
M.Brown o19.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 180-132-1 (+14.4u)
Under 37.5+100
0.5u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-267-5 (+2.2u)
M.Brown Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800
$0.40
KC +14-120
$1.00
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 46-33-0 (+22.0u)
DEN -13.5-105
2u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 177-150-5 (+11.1u)
Under 37-110
0.91u
DEN -13-115
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 80-71-0 (+4.6u)
T.Kelce o39.5 Rec Yds-105
1u
Legacy last day in KC
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 95-86-1 (+1.5u)
Under 36.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 66-74-0 (-2.2u)
DEN -13.5-110
1.1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 70-74-1 (-11.2u)
Under 37.5-110
0.91u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 41-27-0 (+11.5u)
KC +13.5-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 122-98-1 (+33.5u)
KC +13.5-110
0.68u
#RLM
Dale Tanhardt
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 7-28-0 (-4.5u)
J.McLaughlin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+450
0.8u
A.Prentice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1700
0.2u
Kendra Middleton
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 11-9-0 (+2.3u)
KC +13.5-105
0.95u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-267-5 (+2.2u)
T.Franklin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250
$1.00
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 46-35-0 (+1.5u)
I.Pacheco o11.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 136-99-0 (+63.0u)
Over 36.5-110
2u
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💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 63-91-2 (-32.7u)
KC +7 (1H)-106
1u
R.Harvey o53.5 Rush Yds-110
2.2u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 113-109-1 (-15.4u)
KC +14-120
1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 43-26-1 (+7.9u)
C.Oladokun o15.5 Rush Yds-110
0.55u
Oladokun is set to make his first career start after Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew both suffered season-ending injuries. Oladokun was a 7th-round pick by the Steelers back in 2022, and while we saw him drop back in relief last week 22 times, he’s also seen extensive action in the preseason over the last three seasons. As a preseason degenerate, I’ve seen most of his snaps over the years, and one thing he’s consistently flashed is his rushing upside. In his 24 NFL dropbacks, he’s scrambled 3 times (12.5%) and averaged 4 yards per carry on those scrambles. In 99 preseason dropbacks, he’s scrambled 10 times (10%) while averaging 8.3 yards per scramble. Obviously that came against backups and softer defenses, but either way, he’s shown a willingness and ability to use his legs. To put that into perspective, his ~10.5% scramble rate across 123 total regular-season and preseason dropbacks would rank 4th among qualified QBs this season, behind only Jayden Daniels, Tyrod Taylor, and Justin Fields. He doesn’t quite have the speed or burst of those QBs, but it’s important to note that he’s willing to take off if the situation calls for it. Andy Reid will likely want to lean on the run and not put too much on Oladokun as a passer, but as 13.5-point home underdogs, we should still see a decent amount of dropbacks. I have him projected for around 34 dropbacks, which opens the door for 2–3 scrambles, if not more. That becomes even more likely against a Broncos defense that has generated the 2nd-highest pressure rate in the league. LT Josh Simmons is also done for the season, and his replacement, Esa Pole, has struggled, which could force Oladokun out of the pocket more often. There’s obviously a wide range of outcomes here. Oladokun could struggle early and get benched for Shane Buechele, or he could continue to take sacks instead of scrambling like we saw at times last week. But I think there’s enough sneaky upside to take a flier on the over here. With the rest of this game being very tricky to cap, this is the angle I feel best about. I’m projecting him closer to 19–20 rushing yards, with around a 59% chance to clear 15.5. Since there is a wide range of outcomes it also makes sense to take his alt overs but the market has done a fairly good job of pricing them, 30+ yards (+320) at FanDuel seems like the best value when looking at his alt overs as I’m projecting that closer to +290
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 9-11-0 (-3.5u)
KC +14-120
1u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 29-98-6 (-10.6u)
B.Nix Anytime TD Scorer Yes+470
2.35u
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+440
0.5u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 21-23-0 (+3.0u)
KC +13.5-112
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 89-103-3 (-14.3u)
C.Oladokun o147.5 Pass Yds-117
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 19-68-1 (-4.3u)
T.Franklin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240
0.5u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 116-129-0 (-22.2u)
B.Nix o12.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 30-25-1 (+3.3u)
Under 36.5-110
0.09u
🚀Become a Pro Bettor in 7-Days! (Link in Bio)
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 61-48-7 (+4.4u)
KC +13-110
0.36u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 122-98-1 (+33.5u)
Under 36.5-105
1u
Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift Overall: 546-422-12,56% (ROI:9%) Season:23-20-0,53% (ROI:3%) High Wind Low Total Overall: 473-341-7,58% (ROI:12%) Season:14-8-0,64% (ROI:

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Broncos

Public

70%

Bets%

30%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
6-115-41-64-102-1
Broncos
7-105-42-53-94-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs
4-131-82-53-111-2
Broncos
7-104-53-46-61-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
6-11N/AN/A5-91-2
Broncos
14-3N/AN/A10-24-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 21st@TENL 9-26-3 LU 37.5TEN -182
Dec 14thLACL 13-16-5.5 LU 41.5LAC -277
Dec 8thHOUL 10-20-4.5 LU 41.5HOU -218
Nov 27th@DALL 28-31-3.5 LO 53.5DAL -185
Nov 23rdINDW 23-20-4.5 LU 50KC -225

Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Broncos Injuries

  • J.K. Dobbins
    RB

    Dobbins is out with foot

    Out

Chiefs Injuries

  • Patrick Mahomes
    QB

    Mahomes is out with knee

    Out

  • Gardner Minshew
    QB

    Minshew is out with knee

    Out

  • Tyquan Thornton
    WR

    Thornton is out with concussion

    Out

  • Isiah Pacheco
    RB

    Pacheco is out with rest

    Out

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with concussion

    Out

  • Nikko Remigio
    WR

    Remigio is out with knee

    Out

  • Xavier Worthy
    WR

    Worthy is out with illness

    Out

Team Stats
303
Total Yards
139
71
Total Plays
42
4.3
Yards Per Play
3.3
182
YDS
66
26/38
Comps/Atts
13/22
4.487
YPA
2.478
1/1
TDs/INTs
1/0
1/7
Sacks/Yards
1/9
128
Rush Yards
82
32
Attempts
19
4
YPC
4.316
1
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

2/4 50%
Redzone
1/1 100%
11/18 0%
3rd Down
4/11 0%
1/1 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

22
Total
10
12
Pass
4
9
Rush
5
1
Penalty
1
5/57
Penalties/Yards
2/10
39:28
Possession
20:32

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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Broncos at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Broncos
14-3
o26.5-105
u26.5-120
Chiefs
6-11
o12.5-110
u12.5-115