Chiefs vs. Titans Odds & Betting Predictions - December 21, 2025

High Wind Low Total Overall: 473-341-7,58% (ROI:12%) Season:14-8-0,64% (ROI:

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Who would've imagined even one month ago that we'd be backing the 2-12 Titans against the mighty Chiefs in December? Life comes at you fast. Cam Ward has actually played relatively well for a rookie No. 1 pick. Tony Pollard is finding some running lanes lately, in part because Bill Callahan's offensive line is finally coming together late. Tennessee's pass defense is still pretty bad, but Jeffrey Simmons and T'Vondre Sweat are as good an interior combo as any and give the Titans a great run defense. Tennessee is more bad than awful at this point, and that matters. The Titans won in Cleveland against that tough defense, and they've played competitive games in the last six weeks against the Chargers, Texans, Seahawks, and 49ers. But this is really less about the Titans and more about how far the Chiefs have fallen. This line was Chiefs -10.5 on Sunday morning before plummeting once Patrick Mahomes got hurt, and the question now is just how far to downgrade Kansas City without Mahomes. I'm not sure you can downgrade this team far enough. It's not that Gardner Minshew is horrendous, but he's definitely not Mahomes. Suddenly that banged-up offensive line (missing its top four tackles!) is going to look even worse without that Mahomes scramble magic to keep things alive, and the leaky receiver room will be even more damaging. The Chiefs may lean even further into their punchless run game, against an opponent built to stop it. The Chiefs have carried the target on their back every game for seven years — every time out is the opponent's Super Bowl. How will this team respond in a glorified exhibition game? Will veterans like Chris Jones and Travis Kelce show much fight? Will the coaches push and call their best plays? Will the re-energized defense still feel like bothering? This game may not matter to Kansas City, but you can bet the Titans would still love a win against the Chiefs. Tennessee has no need to tank. It already has its franchise QB, and this would be a good win for Cam Ward and a coaching staff trying to keep its jobs and establish team culture. I think the Titans can win this one. Give me Tennessee on the moneyline at +145 (BetMGM). If the Titans do win, that's a great setup for our Extra Point pick from this week's Pick Six column: Browns for worst record in the NFL at +2200 (bet365). You can read the case there for why that correlates with this outcome.

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