Seahawks vs. Titans Odds & Betting Predictions - November 23, 2025

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3.22% ev

Tailing @ChrisRaybon

Chig Okonkwo ⬆️ 2.5 Receptions (-135 @ BetMGM)(TEN) *Collab w/ @FrannysPlays 🤝* We both really like this spot for Chig after a monster over-the-shoulder catch last week to set up the tie game against HOU. Last week Chig reeled in three catches for 56 yards against a much tougher matchup for TE's. This week is much better. Seattle allows the third-most targets per game (8.80), the most receptions (6.70), and the fourth-most receiving yards per game (69.3) to opposing tight ends. They also allow the eighth-highest yards per target (7.9). SEA is elite against just about every other facet of the game and with Chig used more as an outlet option this season, I like receptions over yards. Another big factor here is which pass catchers are available. They have lost Riley for the season after he suffered a broken right fibula last week. The offenses second to wideout, Elic Ayomanor, also suffered a hamstring injury that'll keep him out this week. Even the third WR in this offense has a chest injury heading into this game. With a likely negative game script looming (the spread is -13) and with a struggling TEN run game, Ward is still going to have to air it out. Chig in a good matchup should be one of the benefactors of that.

3.81% ev

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Greg Olsen recently pointed out that teams should not match up against Seattle’s heavy personnel on early downs with base because the Seahawks were using it to set up the pass. The Rams countered that last week and Sam Darnold had his worst game of the season, throwing 4 interceptions. I think it makes sense for Seattle to respond with a more run heavy game plan here, and this matchup supports it because the Titans have one of the worst run defenses in the league, ranking 30th in DVOA. As nearly 14 point favorites, this is the exact type of spot where Seattle should lean on the run, shorten the game, and put Darnold in fewer obvious passing situations. Darnold also tends to make his completions count since he ranks 2nd in the league with 63.5 yards per game on throws 20+ yards downfield. The Titans have allowed the 4th highest yards per attempt on passes 20+ yards downfield. Those deeper attempts are great for this market because they are lower percentage throws, and when they are completed, they move the ball further down the field which lowers play volume, increases the likelihood of scoring, and helps create more run heavy scripts. So the game plan we want is pretty simple. Seattle runs the ball early and often, and when they take shots, they are deep ones. That combination gives Darnold fewer total attempts and fewer short, easy completions. I’m projecting him closer to 18.7 completions with around a 59% chance he stays under 19.5.

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Favorite TD bet of the week

Last week the Seahawks played in the DVOA Bowl against the Rams, with №1 vs №2. This week it's whatever the opposite of that is… the Toilet Bowl? It's №1 vs №32, as the Titans have been mostly dreadful all season. Seattle lost last week but its defense was absolutely dominant against a red-hot Rams offense. Seattle's defense is also best in the league on the road by DVOA versus outside the top 10 at home. The Titans offense is about as bad as it gets. The line has been poor, Cam Ward has barely shown signs of life without any weapons to attack, and Tennessee just can't score. The Titans are dead last in PPG at 14.3, including a meager 11.0 PPG against top-10 defenses. Seattle may not necessarily put up a huge number either, though. The one real weakness on this team is the run game and, currently, the interior of the offensive line which is suddenly missing its young center and guard combo from NDSU. That's rough timing against a Titans side whose only real strength is a pair of star defensive tackles, Jeffrey Simmons and T'Vondre Sweat. That could mean another tough game for Sam Darnold if he's facing interior pressure all day. These are two of the three lowest variance teams in the NFL, so what you see is what you get - Seattle is great, Tennessee is bad, and we probably won't get much of a surprise here. But it could be ugly along the way. Totals between 39 and 44 that drop 1-to-4 points from open are 54.3% to the under since 2017. When a total starts to drop in that range, it's typically profitable to join the steam. Grab the under 40.5 before it fades further.

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