Colts vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Might become a Anthony Richards stan

DraftKings 12:25.

@ChrisRaybon

Round Robin 2/5

First game back, yes, but it was a forearm injury (as opposed to lower body). But he’s walking into a starting role on an offense that figures to feature the run, against a defense that profiles to be pretty poor against the run (once again). And the gamescript should lend to the run game staying as an option through the 4Q. Plus, Evan Hull is on IR, Deon Jackson was awful last week (and still had 13 totes in a game the Colts were losing pretty much all 4 quarters), and Anthony Richardson took a beating.

Only 11 last week but averaged 16.5 attempts last season exceeding 13.5 in 71% of games.

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-bets-week-2-picks-for-keenan-allen-robert-woods?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

FOXHOLE

TAN Best Bets pod 🎙 Not off Texans futures after wk1 as D looked great but OL injury woes killing offense. Scored 9 last wk, Colts O scored 14, now rookie QB on road vs DeMeco D. Week 2 unders with total 40 and below since 04: 45-16-3 (74%) Most books 39 already, grab 40 czr if you can

Available at FanDuel. My model makes the Texans the favorites in this game, so I'm fine taking the plus money on their side. The Colts' offense looked more functional in Week 1, but they were at home against the Jags while the Texans had to go on the road to face the Ravens. Now they head back home for this one. I'd assume they'll be without Jalen Pitre after he had to stay overnight in a hospital, and that is a blow to the defense. But the Colts' ground attack looked hideous without Jonathan Taylor, and it's unlikely to get better even if Zack Moss is healthy. These two teams are pretty evenly matched by my numbers, so I do agree that taking the plus money is the right approach.