Cowboys vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 12, 2025

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THE BLITZ is forecasting 2.53 receptions for Javonte Williams compared to 3.53 receptions implied by sportsbooks, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 58% of the time, resulting in a 38% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $38.07. (This play is good down to at least +100.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

Adding to my position

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker. Can get u216.5 on Sleeper if you play there.

The weather report for this game has gotten significantly worse and we are close enough to kickoff to feel pretty confident there will be showers at times and high winds (20+). Starting to see markets adjust and I think Young’s pass yds prop should see the biggest hit due to the weather. He’s getting a big boost due to Dallas 32nd ranked pass DVOA, but this is a game Car will be able to lean on the run and keep things close. Projecting him closer to 195.5 based on the recent weather forecast

For a second straight week, I strongly considered the Cowboys as a short road favorite. This Dallas offense looks legit, and Dak Prescott is typically great as a favorite and against sub-.500 teams. The Cowboys should score. But they might allow plenty of points to the Panthers too, as bad as their defense is playing, and with a total at 49.5, this could end up in the running for highest-scoring game of the week. Could this finally be the Tet McMillan breakout game? Carolina's star rookie WR has looked the part on the field but yet to put up a huge line, but this matchup sets up well for some big time production. The Cowboys rank bottom three in the NFL both against the pass and overall by Defensive DVOA. This pass defense just has no shot right now, especially against opposing WR1s. Malik Nabers had nine catches for 167 yards and two scores against Dallas. Rome Odunze had 62 yards and a TD. Romeo Doubs found the end zone three times, and Garrett Wilson saw 71 yards and a score himself. All four of those WRs scored a touchdown, with Nabers scoring twice and Doubs three times. Dallas allowed a TD to 8-of-17 opposing WR1s last season too, almost half of them. McMillan's receptions and yardage lines have been bet up this week past value, so I'm investing in a touchdown or two. He's a big target and should be Bryce Young's look in the red zone, and we could see a whole bunch of touchdowns in a potential shootout. I'll back McMillan for an Anytime Touchdown at +150 (Caesars) and put a bit on two TDs at +1200 too (FanDuel) with plenty of scores to go around. This might also be the spot to buy a Tet McMillan ticket for Offensive Rookie of the Year at +1300 (ESPN Bet). Emeka Egbuka is the clear favorite right now but should slow down once Mike Evans and Chris Godwin return, and the field looks pretty wide open after Egbuka with Ashton Jeanty second in name only. A big game Sunday from McMillan should finally get him the attention he deserves.

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THE BLITZ is forecasting 32.48 receiving yards for Ryan Flournoy compared to 50.35 receiving yards implied by sportsbooks, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 73% of the time, resulting in a 39% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $43.71. (This play is good down to at least -176.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

#SundaySixPack

Bet105