Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2023

Bombs are going to be dropped

This is an under, not over

As given out on Green Dot Daily. Would play to +140

More like Kenneth Gainnotwell

FLY EAGLES FLY

Bucs worst 2-0 team in NFL history

Bucs and Baker come back down to Earth

This is the AJ Brown play today

This is a horrible number still up at 365. Rest of books at 38-41. Swift seems like RB1 based on practice and goes hand in hand w/ Gainwell prop. He’s explosive and think he’ll get lion’s share. All he needs is ~10 Carries. Our projection is closer to 60, so a huge edge

Hurts air raid masterclass - bomb drops in Tampa

Only a 3 yard difference to Evans’ receiving line?

Via @PropBetGuy

(-130) on offshore, Baker throws his first pick tonight

Barney at the bar. @AnthonyDabbundo

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-aj-brown-eagles-vs-buccaneers-monday-night-football

Bet at DraftKings.

Smaller because not sure of what Philly will do w/ Swift & Gainwell, but projections are closer to 28-30. Every yard counts and Hurts’ mobility also should steal carries from him

Riding another primetime under.

Koerner’s total

DK

Luck Rankings pick. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-betting-preview-week-3

Bet365 10:01 Saturday.

Simon Says

Bet at Bet365 on 09/21. Bucs strong vs run and create lot of pressure. Hurts may need to throw more bc of strong Run Defense and bc WR AJ Brown is whining for more targets. These INT odds should be closer to +125.

(0.5u) A.J. Brown anytime TD (+145) Best line on DK. A.J. Brown has not scored a TD this year, but I expect that changes Monday night. He was visibly upset about his lack of involvement last week vs. MIN, so look for QB Jalen Hurts to get his playmaker the ball early and often. 23.1% target share facing zone coverage (35% first-read share) on passing plays. Bucs much weaker vs. pass than run.

Simon Says play from @TheFavoritesPodcast.

Available at FanDuel. Tampa Bay has shredded on offense so far this year, and while this will easily be their toughest task yet, the Eagles' defense isn't at full health. They have a bunch of time to get there, but the Buccaneers enter with a relatively empty injury report. We've seen Baker Mayfield have stretches of competency in the past, and he likely has the best pass-catchers of his entire career right now. It's not entirely out of the question that the Bucs are a decent football team this year. Thus, I thinking taking the 5.5 with the home team is the right way to play this one.

These two teams' game totals have summed up to 11 points *per game* MORE than expected over first 2 weeks based off on-field play. Expecting regression.