Packers vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2024

Packers at Cowboys

9:30 pm • FOX

Green Bay Packers

6-3

48 - 32

Dallas Cowboys

3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Packers 6-3	+7	+7-104	o52-118	+287
Cowboys 3-5	u50.5	-7-118	u52-102	-360

Sunday 9:30 p.m.

January 14, 2024

AT&T StadiumArlington

DAL -140 (Live)

0.6u

GB +290

1.45u

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

0.88u

Gave out on TD Show at +200, but didn’t get around to logging, so best number out there - I would rec waiting a drive to live bet and get over 2, if you can

J.Love First Touchdown Scorer Yes+3400

0.12u

Nutsack play - tail this if you’re chill like that

GB +290

1.45u

… nfl playoff system contrarian vs top seeded teams Overall: 34-42-0,45% (ROI:28%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

GB +7+102

1.02u

… contrarian spread playoffs Overall: 69-47-3,59% (ROI:16%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:100%)

Over 51.5-105

2.86u

C.Watson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+310

0.5u

C.Watson 2+ TDs Yes+3000

0.15u

DAL -4.5 (1H)-110

1.1u

L.Musgrave o15.5 Rec Yds-114

$50.00

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

1.31u

69 With Dale

GB o2.5 Team Total (1Q)-155

1.13u

69 With Dale 21 Days until the NASCAR Busch Light Clash Q1 bet via DK.

R.Doubs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+310

3.1u

Over 51-110

0.91u

Tailing my friend Russell on this one

GB u21.5-120

$60.00

GB +7-105

0.95u

A.Jones o19.5 Rec Yds-110

T.Pollard o61.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

T.Pollard Anytime TD Scorer Yes-125

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200

@charliedisturco

B.Cooks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

@GDAWG5000 @nick_giffen and Brian Matthews

B.Cooks o41.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

@The_Oddsmaker

GB +7-105

0.95u

@SimonHunterNFL

R.Doubs u16.5 Longest Reception-110

@ChrisRaybon

B.Cooks o41.5 Rec Yds-110

GB +7-105

0.95u

Under 51-108

GB +280

2.8u

R.Doubs u16.5 Longest Reception-110

#ConvinceMe

C.Lamb o98.5 Rec Yds-125

All official plays at Vegasinsider. Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny

GB +7-102

0.98u

B.Cooks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

J.Love o10.5 Rush Yds-128

$64.00

DAL -7-110

2.75u

Under 50.5-110

2.2u

J.Ferguson o43.5 Rec Yds-115

https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/nfl-player-props-wild-card-sunday-best-bets/embed

GB +7.5-110

0.91u

No ones giving rookie qb’s a chance in the yoffs

DAL -7-110

J.Love o9.5 Rush Yds-115

GB +272

$68.00

R.Doubs u16.5 Longest Reception-120

1.2u

Under in 10/16 full games, incl 3/L4 without Watson. Whether Watson plays or not, this is a gross matchup for Doubs. Cowboys employ a man-heavy coverage scheme, and Doubs just doesn’t beat man coverage. Easily the lowest target rate drop of packers receivers against man, and sees his aDOT drop by 2 full yards (10.7). Jayden Reed has been more involved in the deep game lately, Wicks is healthy, and Bo Melton looks like he’s earned more snaps. Just a bad spot for Doubs.

GB +7-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

GB +7.5-110

Raybon 1

GB +7.5-110

Big Balls Bet of the Week

J.Reed o48.5 Rec Yds-112

$56.00

B.Cooks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240

0.5u

B.Cooks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240

GB +280

1.4u

GB +7.5-115

GB +7.5-110

0.91u

J.Love Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750

0.5u

Over 50.5-110

GB +7.5-110

0.91u

GB +7.5-110

0.55u

GB +7.5-110

$100.00

GB +7.5-118

0.85u

This is very much a pro-Packers bet and not an anti-Cowboys one. Jordan Love finished the year averaging 0.20 Passing NEP per drop back (numberFire's EPA model where 0.07 is around league average). That's not only a top-five mark in the league, but it's not that far behind Dak Prescott. The Cowboys get a boost playing indoors against a really bad defense, but this Cowboys defense has been vulnerable at times, as well. Love has been efficient regardless of which pass-catchers have been healthy, so I agree with the model in saying they're undervalued. My model has the Cowboys favored by 5.6, meaning the 7.5 is enough for me to pull the trigger.

GB +7.5-117

Featured Insight
The Packers rushed for 528 yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 10th-most in NFL; the Cowboys allowed 538 yards rushing in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-6th-most in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Cowboys have intercepted 17 passes this season -- T-8th-most in NFL; the Packers are 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception this season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Cowboys are 0-1 in their last 5 games.
Cowboys are 0-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cowboys are 2-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cowboys' last 1 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cowboys' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cowboys	0-1	0-1	2-3	0-1	2-4
Packers	2-0	2-3	2-0	2-3	2-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cowboys	1-0	1-0	2-3	1-0	4-2
Packers	1-1	1-3-1	1-1	2-2-1	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cowboys	0-1	N/A	3-2	0-1	2-4
Packers	1-1	3-2	N/A	4-1	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 7th	@WAS	W 38-10	-13 W	O 47.5	DAL -924
Dec 31st	DET	W 20-19	-4.5 L	U 53.5	DAL -225
Dec 24th	@MIA	L 20-22	+1.5 L	U 48.5	MIA +103
Dec 17th	@BUF	L 10-31	+2.5 L	U 49.5	BUF +119
Dec 11th	PHI	W 33-13	-3.5 W	U 52.5	DAL -184

Jaire Alexander
CB
Alexander is questionable with knee
Questionable

MarShawn Lloyd
RB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out
Evan Williams
DB
Williams is out with hamstring
Out

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
Linval Joseph
DT
Joseph is questionable with back
Questionable
Brandin Cooks
WR
Cooks is out with knee
Out
Micah Parsons
LB
Parsons is out with ankle
Out
DaRon Bland
CB
Bland is out with foot
Out
John Stephens
TE
Stephens is out with knee
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Packers

Total

Cowboys

415

Total Yards

510

Total Plays

7.7

Yards Per Play

5.7

Packers

Passing

Cowboys

272

YDS

403

16/21

Comps/Atts

41/60

12.952

YPA

6.047

3/0

TDs/INTs

3/2

0/0

Sacks/Yards

4/16

Packers

Rushing

Cowboys

143

Rush Yards

123

Attempts

4.333

YPC

4.92

TDs

Packers

Turnovers

Cowboys

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Packers

Efficiency

Cowboys

4/4 100%

Redzone

4/5 80%

6/10 0%

3rd Down

10/16 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/2 0%

Packers

First Downs

Cowboys

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Packers

Misc

Cowboys

7/66

Penalties/Yards

6/48

28:55

Possession

31:05

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MatchupOverUnder
Packers 6-3	o21.5-112	u21.5-110
Cowboys 3-5	o30.5-110	u30.5-104

Packers vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2024

Packers at Cowboys

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Public

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