Steelers vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - September 8, 2024

Steelers at Falcons

5:00 pm • FOX
18 - 10

Steelers at Falcons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Steelers
4-2
+2
+4-110
o43-111
+162
Falcons
4-2
u45.5
-4-110
u43-108
-195
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 08, 2024
Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta
Steelers vs. Falcons Expert Picks
Matthew Vincenzi
Matthew Vincenzi
39d ago
Last 30d: 26-34-0 (-10.8u)
PIT +4-110
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
39d ago
Last 30d: 79-65-4 (+10.6u)
J.Fields o42.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
39d ago
Last 30d: 78-115-0 (-28.9u)
Over 42.5-112
1u
Feed me this disgusting over
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
39d ago
Last 30d: 124-111-2 (+34.8u)
K.Cousins u2.5 Rush Att-155
0.65u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
39d ago
Last 30d: 145-176-7 (-8.2u)
Over 42-112
0.56u
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
39d ago
Last 30d: 6-8-0 (-2.5u)
Under 42.5-110
0.91u
Join our 25,000+ Movement! 🚀 https://discord.gg/house-of-degens Follow me on twitter 🐥 https://twitter.com/VegasIsMyBitchh 2024 NFL Record: 8-2-1 (+7u , Avg Odds 2.10)🔥 No systems, but today's NFL picks are Market Action Plays
Convince Me
Convince Me
39d ago
Last 30d: 28-20-0 (+5.6u)
Under 42-110
0.91u
@ChrisRaybon
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
39d ago
Last 30d: 124-111-2 (+34.8u)
PIT +4-110
1.82u
PIT +165
1.65u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
39d ago
Last 30d: 43-43-5 (-4.3u)
ATL -3.5-106
3u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
39d ago
Last 30d: 127-112-2 (+46.0u)
D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
1u
ATL -3.5-108
1.62u
Proptology _
Proptology _
40d ago
Last 30d: 18-12-0 (+9.5u)
N.Harris o13.5 Rush Att-102
2u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
40d ago
Last 30d: 24-21-0 (+1.1u)
Under 42-110
0.91u
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
40d ago
Last 30d: 166-150-3 (+3.1u)
Under 42-110
0.5u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
40d ago
Last 30d: 46-52-0 (-2.6u)
K.Cousins u247.5 Pass Yds-115
0.35u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
40d ago
Last 30d: 7-13-0 (-6.5u)
ATL -3.5-108
$100.00
- The Steelers won & covered the last 4 matchups vs the Falcons - The Steelers are 9-0 against the spread (ATS) vs the NFC South - The Falcons are 1-11 ATS vs the AFC North - Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is known to cover the spread as an underdog, going 59-35-4 - The Steelers lost the last game of last year by 10+ points, and they are 22-10 following 10 point losses - All things considered we will be FADING the Steelers, because these trends are way too good to be true. The oddsmakers that set this line at (+3.5) for the Steelers know all the same stats I just listed. They want you to comfortably take Tomlin to cover the spread as an underdog again, but Kirk and Bijan will make you regret it if you do - Give me the ATL Falcons (-3.5) #ProSystem #ProProjection #Tailing #Fading #NFLBestBets #NFL #BestBets
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
41d ago
Last 30d: 20-11-0 (+6.2u)
Under 42-110
0.91u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
41d ago
Last 30d: 36-31-0 (+17.3u)
Under 42.5-110
0.91u
Tomlin road unders + Russ road unders, match made in heaven
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
42d ago
Last 30d: 76-84-0 (-15.6u)
P.Queen o7.5 Tackles + Ast+110
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
42d ago
Last 30d: 124-111-2 (+34.8u)
ATL -3.5-106
2u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
42d ago
Last 30d: 145-176-7 (-8.2u)
ATL -3-120
0.6u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
43d ago
Last 30d: 28-39-2 (-7.6u)
Under 42-109
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
45d ago
Last 30d: 79-65-4 (+10.6u)
D.Mooney o2.5 Recs-120
1.2u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
46d ago
Last 30d: 37-26-2 (+7.8u)
D.Mooney o2.5 Recs-120
1u
The Arthur Smith Bowl should be a bit of a defensive struggle, but I am expecting that to mean a struggle to run the ball for the Falcons. Mooney has been absolutely buried with bad QB play in Chicago, and is about to experience a renaissance with Kirk Cousins and Michael Penix in ATL. The line of 2.5 is simply too low based on our projections at RotoGrinders.
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
51d ago
Last 30d: 79-65-4 (+10.6u)
ATL -3-105
1.05u

PRO Insights

Steelers logo

Steelers

PIT Insights
  • Steelers logoSteelers QBs had a 43.9 passer rating against tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 9th-best in NFL; the Falcons allowed a passer rating of 72.2 with tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.
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Falcons logo

Falcons

ATL Insights
  • Falcons logoFalcons pressured opposing QBs on 31% of pass attempts on play action passes last season -- 9th-best in NFL; the Steelers ran successful plays on 45.0% of pass attempts on play action passes last season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.
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Steelers vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

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Steelers vs. Falcons Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Steelers vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

84%

Bets%

16%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons
3-31-32-02-21-1
Steelers
4-21-13-13-21-0

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Falcons
3-32-21-13-10-2
Steelers
2-40-22-22-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons
4-2N/AN/A3-11-1
Steelers
4-2N/AN/A3-21-0

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 23rdJACL 0-31+8 LU 35JAC +320
Aug 17th@BALL 12-13+2.5 WU 34BAL +124
Aug 9th@MIAL 13-20-2.5 LU 38MIA -162
Jan 7th@NOL 17-48+3.5 LO 42NO +150
Dec 31st@CHIL 17-37+2.5 LO 39CHI +125

Steelers vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

  • Cordarrelle Patterson
    RB

    Patterson is out with ankle

    Out

  • Alex Highsmith
    LB

    Highsmith is out with groin

    Out

Falcons Injuries

    Team Stats
    270
    Total Yards
    226
    66
    Total Plays
    50
    4.1
    Yards Per Play
    4.5
    156
    YDS
    155
    17/23
    Comps/Atts
    16/26
    5.32
    YPA
    4.893
    0/0
    TDs/INTs
    1/2
    2/23
    Sacks/Yards
    2/18
    137
    Rush Yards
    89
    41
    Attempts
    22
    3.341
    YPC
    4.045
    0
    TDs
    0
    0
    Fumbles Lost
    1
    0
    Interceptions
    2

    Efficiency

    0/2 0%
    Redzone
    1/2 50%
    8/17 0%
    3rd Down
    2/9 0%
    0/1 0%
    4th Down
    1/1 0%

    First Downs

    16
    Total
    15
    6
    Pass
    8
    9
    Rush
    6
    1
    Penalty
    1
    9/60
    Penalties/Yards
    5/34
    35:36
    Possession
    24:24

    Steelers vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

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    Steelers at Falcons Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Steelers
    4-2
    o19.5-112
    u19.5-108
    Falcons
    4-2
    o23.5-112
    u23.5-108