The number in parenthesis after each pick is my confidence rating out of 10. I feel much better about the Underdog plays tonight than what PrizePicks is offering.
Between Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks, I entered Friday's two games at 31-8 on my picks this preseason.
NFL Player Prop Picks
In the table below, you'll find each of our NFL staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Bills vs. Steelers
Najee Harris
Less Than 29.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
By Sean Koerner
The Steelers' passing offense could play the entire first quarter, but I'm guessing they limit Najee Harris and mix in Jaylen Warren.
I project Harris closer to 20.5 rushing and receiving yards.
Pick: Najee Harris Less Than 29.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards.
Buccaneers vs. Jets
Zach Wilson
More Than 103.5 Passing Yards
By Sean Koerner
Zach Wilson should play the entire first half; I project him closer to 115.5 passing yards.
Pick: Zach Wilson More Than 103.5 Passing Yards.
Buccaneers vs. Jets
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
More Than 22.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
By Sean Koerner
Rachaad White could rest and Chase Edmonds is banged up. The Bucs could use this game to evaluate Ke'Shawn Vaughn and Sean Tucker for the backup role.
I project Vaughn closer to 31.5 rushing and receiving yards.
Pick: Ke'Shawn Vaughn More Than 22.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards.
Bills vs. Steelers
Najee Harris
Less Than 17.5 Rushing Yards
By Sean Koerner
The Steelers' passing offense might play the entire first quarter, but I'm guessing they limit Najee Harris and mix in Jaylen Warren.
My projection for Harris is closer to 12.5 rushing yards.
Pick: Najee Harris Less Than 17.5 Rushing Yards.
Bills vs. Steelers
Calvin Austin
More Than 23.5 Receiving Yards
By Sean Koerner
Calvin Austin should continue to see decent snaps considering he missed his entire rookie season and is fighting to carve out a role as Pittsburgh's WR3/4.
As an added bonus, he has good chemistry with Mason Rudolph.
I project Austin closer to 28.5 receiving yards.
Pick: Calvin Austin More Than 23.5 Receiving Yards.
Buccaneers vs. Jets
Trey Palmer
More Than 19.5 Receiving Yards
By Sean Koerner
The Bucs are evaluating who will be their quarterback for Week 1 and also who will step up to be their third receiver after Russell Gage's season-ending injury.
There could be more passes and playing time for a rookie like Palmer, who is battling for that WR3 role.
I project Palmer closer to 26.5 receiving yards.
Pick: Trey Palmer More Than 19.5 Receiving Yards.
Buccaneers vs. Jets
Sean Tucker
More Than 18.5 Rushing Yards
By Sean Koerner
Rachaad White could rest here and Chase Edmonds is banged up. The Bucs could use this game to evaluate Ke'Shawn Vaughn and Sean Tucker for the backup role.
I project Tucker closer to 25.5 rushing and receiving yards.
Pick: Sean Tucker More Than 18.5 Rushing Yards.
Buccaneers vs. Jets
Zach Wilson
More Than 100.5 Passing Yards
By Sean Koerner
As I mentioned earlier, Wilson should play the entire first half. I see him closer to 115.5 passing yards.
Pick: Zach Wilson More Than 100.5 Passing Yards.
Patriots vs. Packers
Bailey Zappe
More Than 102.5 Passing Yards (9)
By Sean Koerner
I expect Zappe to play at least two quarters in this game and project him closer to around 119.5 passing yards.
Pick: Bailey Zappe More Than 102.5 Passing Yards.
Patriots vs. Packers
Emanuel Wilson
More Than 22.5 Rushing Yards (9)
By Sean Koerner
Wilson, an undrafted rookie, was amazing in his debut and looked as good as his 6/111/2 rushing line would suggest.
It would make sense for the Packers to give him an extended look against New England, especially with Tyler Goodson and Lew Nichols banged up.
Pick: Emanuel Wilson More Than 22.5 Rushing Yards.
Chiefs vs. Cardinals
Deneric Prince
More Than 18.5 Rushing Yards (9)
By Sean Koerner
Prince only had a 4/14/0 rushing line last week, but it's hard to read too much into it given K.C. only had 17 total rush attempts. I expect that number to tick up in Week 2.
The rookie could mix in with the starters in the first half and then see extensive work in the second half. He seems like he’s a high-floor/ceiling play with Isiah Pacheco still working his way back.
K.C. needs to see what they have in Prince right now. I project him closer to 27.5 rushing yards.
Pick: Deneric Prince More Than 18.5 Rushing Yards.
Chiefs vs. Cardinals
Ty'Son Williams
More Than 24.5 Rushing Yards (7)
By Sean Koerner
Keontay Ingram and Corey Clement are injured so we could see Emari Demercado and Ty'Son Williams get a bit more work. Arizona also cut Stevie Scott, so it may only have 2-4 active backs.
Williams is an underrated runner and looked great last week with a 10/51/0 rushing line. I project closer to 30.5 rushing yards.
