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Brandon Anderson's Picks
Today
N.Reid o9.5 Pts-110
GSW
@
MIN
1u
05/07 1:30 AM
pair this with the Naz 15 any game bet from Buckets 🪣
85
Pending
Nikola Jokic 1st Team All NBA-245
1u
Basically just a CD investment on him playing 65g with a 41% ROI
26
SGA 4+ assists each game+260
1u
6.5 vs den this year, 6.4 regular season, 4+ in 73/80 this year and that’s mostly regular season minutes. I make this over 60% in 6g so -150
10
2-WAY PARLAY-110
1.5u
This is where all that warriors attrition comes home to roost. All the history of teams coming off game 7 bodes very poorly for Golden State in the opener, and all the mileage on tired old bodies will add up against a team that’s just a little better. Wolves G1 / series available at most books.
MIN -250
GSW
@MIN
05/07 1:30 AM
Minnesota Timberwolves-190
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Round 2 - To Win
73
D.Mitchell To Score 40+ Points Yes+500
IND
60
77
CLE
0.25u
3rd 7:32
With the pace of the series and all the Cleveland injuries, may as well take a shot.
41
D.Mitchell To Score 35+ Points Yes+210
IND
60
77
CLE
0.5u
3rd 7:32
With the pace of the series and all the Cleveland injuries, may as well take a shot.
42
D.Mitchell To Score 50+ Points Yes+3000
IND
60
77
CLE
0.25u
3rd 7:32
With the pace of the series and all the Cleveland injuries, may as well take a shot.
42
Wolves sweep vs GSW+1000
0.25u
Nibbling 3 short series outcomes for Minnesota taking care of business quickly vs Warriors: sweep or two Wolves in 5 outcomes.
58
Wolves WWLWW exact outcome vs GSW+1100
0.25u
Nibbling 3 short series outcomes for Minnesota taking care of business quickly vs Warriors: sweep or two Wolves in 5 outcomes.
48
Wolves WLWWW exact outcome vs GSW+2800
0.25u
Nibbling 3 short series outcomes for Minnesota taking care of business quickly vs Warriors: sweep or two Wolves in 5 outcomes.
46
Celtics -1.5 series vs NYK-240
2.4u
If the Knicks push to 7 or win the series, take my money.
76
Tatum 3s leader vs NYK+160
1u
11.5 3pa vs NYK with 10+ all four, no one else getting consistent 3pa, just should get mega volume and be a clear favorite here
87
Tatum assists leader vs NYK +250
0.5u
10/4/9/5 ast = 7apg in season series, Brunson had 2/5/4/10 so 5.25
87
Tatum 3+ 3s every game vs NYK+6000
1u
These every game bets NEVER hit. One blowout, injury, off night, etc usually kill them. BUT Tatum took 10+ 3s all 4g vs NYK and made 3-4-7-8. If he really takes 10+ every game, I have this at 16% even in a 6g series. I can get to over 35% in 5g or less. 60-1 is implied 1.6%. This will almost certainly be my favorite bet of the round by implied value. We’re talking 10x or 20x here. Full unit if you can get down.
24
Cavs in 5 vs IND+285
1u
Feels like Indiana is good but Cleveland is just a little better at almost all the same things. Indiana is good enough to contend in games and the series but Cleveland should win out.
Splitting between Cleveland and five and six gives implied 44% and +126, Sacrificing sweep as a huge improvement on Cleveland -1.5 at -160 implied 62%
79
Cavs in 6 vs IND+450
1u
Feels like Indiana is good but Cleveland is just a little better at almost all the same things. Indiana is good enough to contend in games and the series but Cleveland should win out.
Splitting between Cleveland and five and six gives implied 44% and +126, Sacrificing sweep as a huge improvement on Cleveland -1.5 at -160 implied 62%
82
Mobley reb leader vs IND+155
1u
This is basically a head to head with Allen, and the matchup much prefers Mobley rebounding. 12 and 13 in the two games against Indiana versus nine from Alan both games, and the rebounding chances number reflect the same thing. Allen is being pulled away from the basket to defend Turner and could even lose some minutes.
68
Mobley 8+ reb every game vs IND+575
0.25u
This is basically a head to head with Allen, and the matchup much prefers Mobley rebounding. 12 and 13 in the two games against Indiana versus nine from Alan both games, and the rebounding chances number reflect the same thing. Allen is being pulled away from the basket to defend Turner and could even lose some minutes. Implied 15% but I make this more like 18 to 24%, even though these bets do usually lose so don’t go crazy.
47
Haliburton assists leader vs CLE-250
2.5u
Easiest money you'll make this round. Hali had 13-13-12-12 assists in 4g vs Cavs last year and has a G1 line of 10.5 compared to garland 6.5 playing hurt and Mitchell 5.5. That means he should be four or five ahead each game and just slowly widen his lead. This is the Giannis points leader of this round.
19
Tatum to avg 3+ 3s vs NYK-220
2.2u
If Tatum takes 10 a game as a 35% shooter in 5 games, this has an 81% shot of cashing. If it’s more like 11.5 and 37%, it goes to 97%. Even against Orlando with them completely eliminating 3PA, he hit this. Should be good unless he gets hurt or is ice cold all series. Implied 69% is nice but way too low, should probably be at least -500.
35
Haliburton 10+ assists every game vs CLE+1100
0.25u
Hali had 13-13-12-12 assists in 4g vs Cavs last year and has a G1 line of 10.5 compared to garland 6.5 playing hurt and Mitchell 5.5. That means he should be four or five ahead each game and just slowly widen his lead. This is the Giannis points leader of this round. Tough to hit 10 every game but should be close and I make this more like 12% versus 8% implied
53
Haliburton steals leader vs CLE+800
0.5u
Steals are always a goofy random market, but he leads all players in steals per game, and the Pacers have more steals and fewer times stolen than Cleveland, in part because Haliburton is the one handling.
24
Thunder & Celtics -1.5 series spreads rd2-112
2u
Buckets live! 🪣 set it and forget it. Parlay both series spreads -1.5 before Monday night series starts
78
Ant series assists leader vs GSW 🐜+300
1u
Hit for us last series so let’s run it back. Be sure to grab this stray +300 at ESPN, looks 200 or shorter everywhere else and he should the favorite.
46
DiVincenzo assists leader vs GSW+10000
0.1u
Just a small touch cuz I don’t think this is a Conley series and DDV was really good the last two Ws games with 9 assists in one of them. This is a wide open market.
51
Ant 5+ ast each game vs GSW+775
0.25u
5a in 70% of his games and playmaking ticking up, esp if Conley is limited. Tough to hit the floor every game but I make this 18% vs 11% implied.
45
Podziemski 9+ pts each game vs MIN+400
1u
Podziemski has to play, Ws not enough 2-way guys… scoreless in sick game, otherwise 14–10–26–8–10–9, 12.8ppg in playoffs… 9+ in 17 of last 20 healthy g, 8–8–7 in miss… I make this around 40%, gonna come down to a couple points on either side in a game or two
46
Gobert 10+ reb each game vs GSW+1200
0.25u
Rudy had 12–11–10–9 reb vs gsw, 10.5rpg… Ws really hurt them on oreb and don’t have enough offense to play Rudy off so he should get plenty of reb and can always have that monster game like 24 vs Lakers, 15 games with 18+ last two seasons
38
Gobert 18+ reb any game vs GSW+575
0.25u
Rudy had 12–11–10–9 reb vs gsw, 10.5rpg… Ws really hurt them on oreb and don’t have enough offense to play Rudy off so he should get plenty of reb and can always have that monster game like 24 vs Lakers, 15 games with 18+ last two seasons
27
Ant 40+ pts any game vs GSW 🐜+115
0.5u
The most fun bet you can make this round, just rooting for Ant to clown Jimmy and Draymond for how they’ve treated this Minnesota franchise over the years. He’s done this in 4 of 6 playoff series.
36
Naz 15+ pts any game vs GSW+175
1.5u
The most fun bet you can make this round, part II… Naz had 15 and 16 already vs GSW this year, hit 15 almost 50% of reg sn games, already had 23 vs lakers and has at least a 15 in three straight playoff series. Good matchup for him and fun bet.
6
Thunder in 5 vs DEN+240
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣 split bet bt 5 and 6
52
Thunder in 6 vs DEN+470
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣 split bet bt 5 and 6
54
JDub 3+ ast each game vs DEN+250
2u
JDub assist overs hit rd1, keep playing. Had 9-8-6 last 3g vs denver, 7.7apg on 13.7 potentials way up from 5.1 and 9.4 season averages. 5+ every game of sweep last round, and 3+ in 28 straight games rn and 67/73 on season (92%) and now he’s playing better and more minutes. This looks 70 or even over 80% likely. If you can’t play, 6apg +300 dk is an ok pivot.
10
JDub 6apg vs DEN+300
0.25u
JDub assist overs hit rd1, keep playing. Had 9-8-6 last 3g vs denver, 7.7apg on 13.7 potentials way up from 5.1 and 9.4 season averages. 5+ every game of sweep last round, and 3+ in 28 straight games rn and 67/73 on season (92%) and now he’s playing better and more minutes. This looks 70 or even over 80% likely. If you can’t play, 6apg +300 dk is an ok pivot.
39
Braun 10+ pts each game vs OKC+725
1.5u
Braun points 16–24–19–14 vs okc, avg 18.3ppg… excellent in 3 of 4, getting 3s up (2.25/g), 2.6 bpm, 9 stocks… 10+ pts in 76/86 (88.4%) in 34mpg, playoffs up to 39mpg, only >4 fouls 1x all yr (5) and often plays with bench even in blowouts. I make this over 50% even in a tougher Braun series.
20
A.Gordon 3+ reb each game vs OKC+170
1u
AG had 18 regular season games under 24’, otherwise he’s had 3+ in 37/41 games (90%) and had 4+ all 7g vs LAC in obviously way higher minutes. It’s not sexy but I make this over 50%.
5
Tatum overall R2 3s Leader+850
0.25u
@JoeDellera collab
Jokic overall R2 Rebounds Leader-150
3u
-2500 at 365, should smash unless it’s a reverse sweep, collab with @JoeDellera
Giannis Antetokounmpo Finals MVP+2000
0.5u
Buckets Futures Blitztravaganza
37
Leone Fiebich Most Improved Player of the Year+6000
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Sophie Cunningham Sixth Player of the Year+1100
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Napheesa Collier MVP+475
1u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Phee lit it up all summer with Unrivaled but left the playoffs disappointed so maybe she’ll parlay that into an MVP breakout
Futures
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+600
2024-25 NBA MVP
2u
my all-in MVP position to start the NBA season. hear my case on Buckets
125
Los Angeles Lakers+2100
2024-25 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
Let’s get Buckets 🪣 check the Luka-Davis reaction pod… YOLO. You will not be mad you have a 21-1 ticket on Luka & LeBron in this West climate.
145
San Francisco 49ers+2000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
49ers as next year’s Eagles? My first 2026 Super Bowl pick Hot Read 🔥: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
80
Seattle Seahawks+7000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Next year’s Vikings? Elite D, great O weapons & new OC Kubiak elevates O: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
56
Kawhi Leonard+14000
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.25u
Check Futures Friday Buckets 3/28 🪣. I just can’t quit Kawhi, this is a bomb but a bad number if this happens to be his one healthy stretch once every five seasons. Clips heavily matchup dependent but there’s a path and he’s a top 5 playoff player if healthy.
36
Kristaps Porziņģis+5500
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.5u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 we’ve already seen Celtics MVP votes go plurality and not necessarily the best player, only has to win MVP <20% of Cs finals wins and would be key esp vs OKC, could even be their most important player. This is a ticket you’ll be glad to have an a month when they are playing in ECF
59
Indiana Pacers+3300
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 Haliburton 8.9 BPM and 138 Ortg since Jan 1. He might be the best meaningful player in the east playoffs. I like Pacers as clear first round favorites, and we don’t know for sure if the Cavs are the real thing in the playoffs. Pacers can score with anyone and have already shown they’re live vs NYK or BOS in potential ECF.
62
Milwaukee Bucks+10000
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
The ultimate buy low. Giannis in full beast mode, avg 35/15, and now Dame is back and shaking off the rust. Bucks have the best player in the East and could have the two best players in any series. Celtics injuries piling up, Cavs struggling to to put Heat away, Knicks frauds… just a nibble!
53
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-7-0 | 13% | -1.61u |
| Last 7 Days | 28-64-0 | 30% | 24.18u |
| Last 30 Days | 62-130-0 | 32% | 49.21u |
| All Time | 2477-3178-98 | 43% | 715.36u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1082-1393-30 | 43% | 409.60u |
| NBA | 1184-1487-61 | 43% | 209.84u |
| NCAAB | 150-211-5 | 41% | 68.78u |
| NCAAF | 31-25-1 | 54% | 17.94u |
| Champions | 6-4-1 | 55% | 7.98u |
| WNBA | 5-3-0 | 63% | 7.82u |
| MLS | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.66u |
| ATP | 1-3-0 | 25% | 1.13u |
| La Liga | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.04u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.01u |
| World Cup | 3-9-0 | 25% | -2.70u |
| Premier League | 3-14-0 | 18% | -8.91u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Bet the Texans to go from worst to first in the division, and even doubled down with a Will Anderson DROY cherry on top. Joe Flacco CPOY +25000 and Nuggets over Heat +1600 exact outcome were fun, too!
Most Heartbreaking Bet
MVP bets. Tom Brady +1400 in 2021, odds-on favorite in December, but shutout vs. Saints on SNF. Nikola Jokic +900 in 2023, rightful leader all the way, but the moron voters get bored and go with Embiid last minute. Brock Purdy +5000 in 2024, odds-on favorite on Christmas, but the voters are too proud to vote for him or Dak. You're killin' me, Smalls!
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