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Brandon Anderson's Picks
Today
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o31.5 Pts-112
MEM
@
OKC
1u
04/22 11:30 PM
G1 just 15 pts in blowout limited time, lowest point total of the season. Fluke outlier. Elite scorer at huge pace, plenty rested, and scored 35-32-41-37 in regular season at 36.3ppg. Don’t let G1 throw you.
78
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-120
MEM
@OKC
1.5u
04/22 11:30 PM
Keep riding. 6ast G1 with 10 potentials even in blowout with limited minutes. Now 8-6-9-4-6 vs Grizz on season, avg 6.6 and over all but one game he missed on the hook.
99
J.Harden u23.5 Pts-120
LAC
105
102
DEN
1u
FINAL 4/22
Bet rested Harden in G1s, fade the high in G2. Since his last MVP in 2018, he averages 31.8ppg in G1 off 3+ full days of rest, but plummets to 20.8ppg in G2. Point total dropped in 10 of 12 G2 by avg of 14ppg. Scored G1, mostly early, line up to 23.5. It’s Harden Mineshaft SZN.
187
J.Harden u20.5 Pts+188
LAC
105
102
DEN
0.94u
FINAL 4/22
Bet rested Harden in G1s, fade the high in G2. Since his last MVP in 2018, he averages 31.8ppg in G1 off 3+ full days of rest, but plummets to 20.8ppg in G2. Point total dropped in 10 of 12 G2 by avg of 14ppg. Scored G1, mostly early, line up to 23.5. It’s Harden Mineshaft SZN.
57
J.Harden u17.5 Pts+290
LAC
105
102
DEN
0.3u
FINAL 4/22
Bet rested Harden in G1s, fade the high in G2. Since his last MVP in 2018, he averages 31.8ppg in G1 off 3+ full days of rest, but plummets to 20.8ppg in G2. Point total dropped in 10 of 12 G2 by avg of 14ppg. Scored G1, mostly early, line up to 23.5. It’s Harden Mineshaft SZN.
54
Pending
Nikola Jokic 1st Team All NBA-245
1u
Basically just a CD investment on him playing 65g with a 41% ROI
26
Victor Wembanyama 1st Team All NBA+900
0.5u
Buckets Futures Blitztravaganza
32
Kenny Atkinson CLE Coach of the year 2024-25+3000
0.5u
Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
44
Thunder -1.5 series vs MEM-1600
2u
Buckets 🪣 as high as -5000 at other books, where it probably should be. Just a one week loan with 6.25% interest, really. -2.5 series -550 also bad after G1 if you didn’t play yet. @fiddlespick
24
LAL -3.5 (1H)-110
MIN
@
LAL
1.5u
04/23 2:00 AM
Home desperation play. Lakers top 4 net 1q & 1h, including +13.7 net home 1h. Far worse in 2h and don’t trust them late, Wolves great 2h. Teams home G2 after 4+ G1 loss 64% ATS last two decades, including 72% ATS as top 3 seeds. Wolves better but LeBron and Luka won’t go down without a fight.
98
SGA series points leader vs MEM-240
3u
Might be the freest bet of the playoffs. Averaged 36+ in season series and there’s just no competition here. If Ja scores a bunch, it’ll just make the series longer for him to score. Morant ankle issues too. At 365 too. This should be like -1000.
51
Tatum 8rpg vs ORL-155
1.55u
10.1rpg in 39g playoffs last two years. This is just a bad number even in a slow series.
44
Tatum 10rpg vs ORL+700
0.5u
10.1rpg in 39g playoffs last two years. This is just a bad number even in a slow series.
51
Sengun 10rpg vs GSW-135
2u
Another great way to invest in Sengun rebounds. Should probably be 11+ at this price. High floor.
43
Donovan Mitchell rd1 points leader+13000
0.15u
under “first round props” at DK… just a sprinkle, but if Miami can push the series to at least six, Donovan is extremely live for this
42
Malik Beasley Series 3s Leader-125
1u
Stale line at FD & MGM. Liked it before the series and now he’s in even better position. Thanks for the heads up Matt on Twitter!
DiVincenzo most 3s first round+15000
0.15u
under DK “first round props”
33
Sengun most reb 1st rd+3000
0.25u
under DK “first round props”
35
Edey 10+ reb every game+530
0.5u
15.3rpg last 8, 9+ every game and only two even below 13. Will he stay on the court and get enough minutes? Thats the angle but a short series only helps this bet.
25
Jalen Williams series ast leader vs MEM+1100
0.25u
6.75apg vs Grizz this season puts him in mix. Short series = variance.
52
SGA 30+ pts every game vs MEM+400
2u
Late add, maybe one of my favs of the round. 32-35-37-41 vs Memphis this season, and that’s regular season minutes. Should play 40 ish in super fast series. 30+ in 32/42 games with 34’ this season, and in 10/12 with 38’ with a floor of 28 points. Just a terrible line. Should be near even odds. Short series helps too. Probably only get one game even in danger.
57
OKC -2.5 & BOS -2.5 series spread parlay-137
1.37u
Round 1 set it and forget it from buckets. Just back the two best teams to win in 5 or less.
44
Davion Mitchell steals leader vs CLE+700
0.25u
1.6 per 36 is best in the series and should play a lot for his defense. Off Night for a reason. Gets at least one almost every game, and a likely shorter series increases variance in a wide open market. Make sure you get Davion not Donovan.
22
Duncan Robinson 3s leader vs CLE+1400
0.25u
7.3 att/g vs Cleveland this year and I expect Spo to crank up the 3s volume for variance as the underdog. Robinson averages 3.9 makes a game when he has 8+ attempts, with 3+ makes in 18/23. Herro likely in play here too if the angle is right but at +250, hope for a poor start and invest later.
52
Pacers 4-1 exact outcome vs MIL+410
1u
Buckets 🪣 Pacers top 10 O/D since Jan 1, 3rd best team in East now with Hali healthy and surrounded by plus defenders. One man teams don’t win in playoffs. Giannis can’t do everything. Sacrifice long series or sweep for a better price, pacers in 5-6 at +181 implied
48
Pacers 4-2 exact outcome vs MIL+525
1u
Buckets 🪣 Pacers top 10 O/D since Jan 1, 3rd best team in East now with Hali healthy and surrounded by plus defenders. One man teams don’t win in playoffs. Giannis can’t do everything. Sacrifice long series or sweep for a better price, pacers in 5-6 at +181 implied
43
Antetokounmpo most series pts vs IND-220
2.2u
Buckets 🪣 a ridiculous number honestly. Free unless he gets hurt again.
9
NYK DET o5.5 games-120
1u
Buckets 🪣 Pistons o14/d3 top 6 net since Jan 1 as Duren Ausar Cade made a leap and JB got the defense clicking. Knicks fell way off over same stretch. I see these teams both fraudy but near even. Looks like a long physical series that could go either way. Believe in the Pistons escalator. Allll the way up!!
59
Pistons 4-2 exact outcome vs NYK+1100
0.25u
Buckets 🪣 Pistons o14/d3 top 6 net since Jan 1 as Duren Ausar Cade made a leap and JB got the defense clicking. Knicks fell way off over same stretch. I see these teams both fraudy but near even. Looks like a long physical series that could go either way. Believe in the Pistons escalator. Allll the way up!!
44
Malik Beasley 3s leader vs NYK-125
0.5u
Buckets 🪣
29
Clippers 4-1 exact outcome vs DEN+900
0.15u
Buckets 🪣 don’t trust either team too long, but Clips #1 offense over last month with Kawhi healthy and looking great so I’ll trust them for one series. One man teams don’t make playoff runs and Nuggets are that with Jamal Murray struggling. If I’m right on this series, I want to be right fast, before Kawhi combusts.
40
Clippers sweep vs DEN+1800
0.1u
Buckets 🪣 don’t trust either team too long, but Clips #1 offense over last month with Kawhi healthy and looking great so I’ll trust them for one series. One man teams don’t make playoff runs and Nuggets are that with Jamal Murray struggling. If I’m right on this series, I want to be right fast, before Kawhi combusts.
36
Wolves -1.5 series spread vs LAL+300
1u
Buckets 🪣 if you ignore the jersey colors and names and focus on four factors and data, it’s a very clear Minnesota is the better team on both sides of the ball. Maybe LeBron & Luka are just too much but lakers are still all hypothetical and Minnesota has been top 10 O/D for months. Take the better team and sacrifice the road G7 where LA would get a generational whistle.
36
Donte DiVincenzo 3s leader vs LAL+1900
0.5u
Buckets 🪣 minutes should be up if Conley struggles to stay on the court, and Minnesota will get 3pt volume. He takes a ton of above the break 3s and should have opportunity. Start playing his overs in G1
42
Bane 3s leader vs OKC+650
0.5u
Dort big fav now feels silly at 4 with Wiggins after just one game. Bane easily best shooter in series, OKC allows a ton of 3PA, and he’s only down 3 with at least 3g to go.
27
Timberwolves sweep vs LAL+900
0.25u
Lakers likely grab G2 and make a series of this but Wolves the far better team in the opener and will be hungry to win another. Excellent comeback second-half team. If they win both in LA, they could make quick work of this. Just. Bad number, I can’t make it any longer than +500.
32
DiVincenzo 3s leader vs LAL+5000
0.1u
Just 1/5 G1 so he’s in a hole but could be a long series ahead and this number is too long. One more nibble just in case.
31
Warriors 4-1 exact outcome+600
0.25u
Buckets: GSW is over priced but I trust them to win on free throws and turnovers. Got a building narrow position and give up some outs to increase potential profitability
48
Warriors 4-2 exact outcome +310
0.25u
Buckets: GSW is over priced but I trust them to win on free throws and turnovers. Got a building narrow position and give up some outs to increase potential profitability
53
Amen Thompson series steals leader vs GSW+550
0.25u
Buckets 🪣 havoc maker
31
Sengun series reb leader vs GSW-185
1u
Buckets 🪣 11.2rpg in 5g vs GSW, 8+ every game. Should dominate glass vs small team esp cuz Draymond 5.4rpg vs HOU not great this year.
51
Sengun 10+ reb every game vs GSW+1300
0.25u
Buckets 🪣 11.2rpg in 5g vs GSW, 8+ every game. Should dominate glass vs small team esp cuz Draymond 5.4rpg vs HOU not great this year.
26
Celtics 2-1 series lead vs ORL+165
0.5u
Buckets 🪣 Orlando matches up weirdly well with Boston in a number of ways and should be able to hang around in low scoring ugly games with low three-point volume. Magic can steal a game early- but just one.
43
Tatum series reb leader vs ORL+200
1u
Buckets 🪣 Tatum reb always up in playoffs, 10.1rpg last 2 years in 39g. Not much clear competition here and he should play plenty in a series that could have some grinders. Just almost always a good bet in Boston series.
85
Myles Turner series 3s Leader vs MIL+1100
0.25u
with @JoeDellera on Cash That, playing G1 over too
Giannis Antetokounmpo Finals MVP+2000
0.5u
Buckets Futures Blitztravaganza
36
Futures
Washington Mystics-110
2023 WNBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
This is @mariacmarino sleeper team from Buckets! When it comes to the W, in Maria we trust 🪣
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+600
2024-25 NBA MVP
2u
my all-in MVP position to start the NBA season. hear my case on Buckets
124
Jalen Williams+2200
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
2u
My favorite awards bet of the season! Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
85
Russell Westbrook+3200
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
1u
Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
77
Ron Holland+2500
2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year
0.5u
Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
68
Draymond Green+15000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.4u
Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
56
Rudy Gobert+1700
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.4u
Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
63
Evan Mobley+1600
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.2u
Buckets awards show: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
62
Cade Cunningham+3700
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.25u
Buckets awards long shots: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
69
Franz Wagner+4500
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.25u
Buckets awards long shots: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
60
Alperen Şengun+10000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.25u
Buckets awards long shots: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7sOm7fcC1zx9KU1aqdrTDc?si=ScEfnsyQQdGKqqjqa_w8-g
60
Jordan Love+2000
2024 NFL Regular Season - Most Passing TDs
0.25u
52
Jalen Williams+3000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
2u
Jan 4 double down, an absurd number at FD. Still my pick to win, will be second all star on league’s best team. Herro and JalenJ and Norm don’t fit the profile at all for MIP on mid teams nowhere near all NBA.
106
Victor Wembanyama+4000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.5u
Doesn’t fit the usual MIP profile but superstars get their own rules and he’s clearly a top five player at this point but can’t win MVP yet this season so just a small hedge at a bad number
36
Los Angeles Lakers+2100
2024-25 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
Let’s get Buckets 🪣 check the Luka-Davis reaction pod… YOLO. You will not be mad you have a 21-1 ticket on Luka & LeBron in this West climate.
143
San Francisco 49ers+2000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
49ers as next year’s Eagles? My first 2026 Super Bowl pick Hot Read 🔥: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
70
Seattle Seahawks+7000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Next year’s Vikings? Elite D, great O weapons & new OC Kubiak elevates O: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
48
Jaren Jackson+3000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.5u
as given out on Buckets 🪣
12
Evan Mobley+3500
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.5u
as given out on Buckets 🪣
7
Tyler Herro+3000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.25u
I’ve got Cade +3700 from preseason (0.25u) but pretty heavily invested on this award with JDub position so just a small hedge for too long a price on Herro. Feels like the only other realistic candidate at this point
37
Evan Mobley+8500
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.1u
Just a nibble hedge. 0.1u is throwaway and this number is too long. I don’t buy Dyson or Braun so just covering my bases.
32
Zaccharie Risacher+2000
2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year
0.5u
Just touching an open terrible market. Castle probably has it now, 22/5/5 last 7g in a dead field. But Risacher 14/4 last 18g with 47% 3s on a possible division winner, easy default #1 pick winner if Castle stumbles or just doesn’t capture voter attn on a lottery team.
31
Dyson Daniels+600
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
2u
I’ve invested 2u into this market and have strong positions on Draymond, Mobley, JJJ. Feels like it’s one of those three or maybe media turns to the best perimeter defender this year, either Dyson with crazy modern steal numbers or Dort as lockdown 1-1 defender on the elite #1 D. Just feels unpredictable with no great winner so I’m gonna be safe and hedge with both perimeter guys to hopefully lock in a pretty nice profit with the five runaway candidates. Riding this out from here rooting for Draymond then Mobley but any of these five.
21
Luguentz Dort+1400
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
1u
I’ve invested 2u into this market and have strong positions on Draymond, Mobley, JJJ. Feels like it’s one of those three or maybe media turns to the best perimeter defender this year, either Dyson with crazy modern steal numbers or Dort as lockdown 1-1 defender on the elite #1 D. Just feels unpredictable with no great winner so I’m gonna be safe and hedge with both perimeter guys to hopefully lock in a pretty nice profit with the five runaway candidates. Riding this out from here rooting for Draymond then Mobley but any of these five.
21
Kawhi Leonard+14000
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.25u
Check Futures Friday Buckets 3/28 🪣. I just can’t quit Kawhi, this is a bomb but a bad number if this happens to be his one healthy stretch once every five seasons. Clips heavily matchup dependent but there’s a path and he’s a top 5 playoff player if healthy.
35
Luguentz Dort+2800
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
1u
Really feels like this award still feels very much up for grabs, and I keep hearing rumblings of a Dort push from voters and voter adjacent people. Why not give it to the guy considered the best 1v1 defender on the generationally great #1 D?
Feels like a plurality vote. I don’t think Dyson has momentum and will split support by this and MIP, and it doesn't feel like Mobley has closed the deal. I'd love for it ti be Draymond but don’t think he should be minus odds. I'm up double digit units on all those guys, 20+ on Mobley, and 55+ on Dray.
Dort feels like such a Marcus Smart winner so I'm adding to my position with a number that simply feels too long. I think he has at least 10% shot so should be under +1000, so I would also bet this standalone even if you don’t have other positions yet.
72
Kristaps Porziņģis+5500
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.5u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 we’ve already seen Celtics MVP votes go plurality and not necessarily the best player, only has to win MVP <20% of Cs finals wins and would be key esp vs OKC, could even be their most important player. This is a ticket you’ll be glad to have an a month when they are playing in ECF
53
Indiana Pacers+3300
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 Haliburton 8.9 BPM and 138 Ortg since Jan 1. He might be the best meaningful player in the east playoffs. I like Pacers as clear first round favorites, and we don’t know for sure if the Cavs are the real thing in the playoffs. Pacers can score with anyone and have already shown they’re live vs NYK or BOS in potential ECF.
58
Detroit Pistons+360
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Round 1 - To Win
1u
Buckets 🪣 Pistons o14/d3 top 6 net since Jan 1 as Duren Ausar Cade made a leap and JB got the defense clicking. Knicks fell way off over same stretch. I see these teams both fraudy but near even. Looks like a long physical series that could go either way. Believe in the Pistons escalator. Allll the way up!!
71
Los Angeles Clippers-105
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Round 1 - To Win
0.75u
Buckets 🪣 don’t trust either team too long, but Clips #1 offense over last month with Kawhi healthy and looking great so I’ll trust them for one series. One man teams don’t make playoff runs and Nuggets are that with Jamal Murray struggling. If I’m right on this series, I want to be right fast, before Kawhi combusts.
40
Miami Heat+1500
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Round 1 - To Win
0.25u
Spo will crank up the variance and bomb 3s, and Miami is somehow #1 net the last 14g. If I can’t kill this team, may as well try to profit off them. See Buckets 🪣 for more
50
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.80u |
| Last 7 Days | 16-22-0 | 42% | 1.72u |
| Last 30 Days | 25-65-0 | 28% | 2.66u |
| All Time | 2433-3064-98 | 43% | 671.92u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1079-1390-30 | 43% | 404.01u |
| NBA | 1143-1376-61 | 44% | 172.00u |
| NCAAB | 150-211-5 | 41% | 68.78u |
| NCAAF | 31-25-1 | 54% | 17.94u |
| Champions | 6-4-1 | 55% | 7.98u |
| WNBA | 5-3-0 | 63% | 7.82u |
| MLS | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.66u |
| ATP | 1-3-0 | 25% | 1.13u |
| La Liga | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.04u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.01u |
| World Cup | 3-9-0 | 25% | -2.70u |
| Premier League | 3-14-0 | 18% | -8.91u |
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Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Bet the Texans to go from worst to first in the division, and even doubled down with a Will Anderson DROY cherry on top. Joe Flacco CPOY +25000 and Nuggets over Heat +1600 exact outcome were fun, too!
Most Heartbreaking Bet
MVP bets. Tom Brady +1400 in 2021, odds-on favorite in December, but shutout vs. Saints on SNF. Nikola Jokic +900 in 2023, rightful leader all the way, but the moron voters get bored and go with Embiid last minute. Brock Purdy +5000 in 2024, odds-on favorite on Christmas, but the voters are too proud to vote for him or Dak. You're killin' me, Smalls!
Specialties
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