More from Chris Raybon
Green Dot Daily! | Free picks & best bets for NFL, CFB & MLB on Friday 9/16/22 | Presented by BetMGM
Chris Raybon's Picks
Today
Under 44.5-109
SF
@
PHI
1u
01/11 9:30 PM
Outdoor unders in WC Round 38-24 (62%) since 2005, 29-14 (67%) when O/U 43+. #SundaySixPack
157
JAC +1.5-116
BUF
27
24
JAC
1u
FINAL 1/11
Home dogs in WC Round 22-9-1 (71%) ATS all-time. #SundaySixPack
111
J.Allen o7.5 Rush Att-120
BUF
27
24
JAC
0.83u
FINAL 1/11
Over in last 6 playoff games, avg 9.2 #ActionPlaybookLive
325
Pending
Jalen Milroe o38.5-122
1u
83
Futures
Buffalo Bills+750
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
Better path to #1 seed than KC, BAL.
Over wins in 7/8 with McDermott so high floor, unrealized ceiling.
Teams +600 to +999 to win SB win 18.6% of time vs 12.3% implied odds (+6.3%) since 2002.
92
Baltimore Ravens+775
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.9u
Teams +600 to +999 to win SB win 18.6% of time vs 12.3% implied odds (+6.3%) since 2002.
77
Kansas City Chiefs+850
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.9u
SB win in 3 of 7 since Mahomes took over, SB appearance in 5 of 7.
Tough first half schedule so opportunity to add more in-season.
61
San Francisco 49ers+2200
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Last 9 Super Bowls feat a combo of Mahomes (5), Brady (4), PHI (3), McVay (2), Burrow (1)...and 3 Shanahan offenses.
Efficient QB (Purdy 8.9 career YPA), 8 draft picks in top 160, Saleh back at DC, #1 easiest SOS.
SF last 6: 2 last place finishes, to NFC Championship Ls, 2 Super Bowl Ls.
This sets up as a year where the 49ers let a season ruin their injury plans.
60
Los Angeles Rams+2200
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Last 7 Super Bowls have featured some combo of Mahomes (5), Brady (2), PHI (2), Shanahan (2), Burrow (1)...and McVay (2).
McVay/Stafford/LAR the only non-KC/non-Brady/non-PHI SB winner since 2016 (9 seasons).
53
Green Bay Packers+2500
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
GB went 0-6 vs DET/MIN/PHI and 11-1 vs everyone else. DET/MIN/PHI got worse, GB got better.
Love top-5 in QBR (69.3) and NYA (7.50) in a "down" year, defense went from No. 27 to No. 7 in DVOA, and Alexander loss will be overrated (hasn't appeared in more than 7g since 2022, 2 INT over that span).
67
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.91u |
| Last 7 Days | 12-6-0 | 67% | 4.20u |
| Last 30 Days | 26-17-1 | 59% | 9.04u |
| All Time | 2175-1764-69 | 54% | 190.98u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1037-823-33 | 55% | 130.76u |
| NBA | 782-632-24 | 54% | 54.09u |
| NHL | 108-86-3 | 55% | 19.74u |
| MLB | 61-45-4 | 55% | 5.30u |
| UFC | 5-2-0 | 71% | 1.73u |
| World Cup | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.50u |
| NCAAF | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.09u |
| UFL | 5-8-2 | 33% | -3.77u |
| NCAAB | 155-156-3 | 49% | -23.07u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Ray-Ray McCloud under 0.5 receiving yards in 2022 Wild Card Playoff vs. Seattle.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Mac Jones safety with under two minutes to go to put Patriots down 4 (21-17) when I had them +3.5.
Specialties
- NFL spreads
- NFL totals
- NFL props
- Fantasy Football
- NFL DFS
- NBA props
- NBA spreads
- NBA totals