Sean Zerillo

Sean Zerillo

1743 Posts
Sean Zerillo
1743 Posts
Baseball, MMA, Horse Racing
Role
Senior Betting Analyst
Experience
17 years
Location
New York
Total Bets
28.6K
Followers
244K

Summary

Sean Zerillo is a senior writer and betting analyst at the Action Network, providing projections for the company’s MLB and MMA verticals using his own proprietary data models.

Sean also provides digital content related to MLB, MMA and horse racing across all platforms. You can find him regularly on Payoff Pitch, Action Network’s MLB betting podcast, as well as The Action Network Podcast, where he’s a leading expert on UFC events, major horse races, and more.

Sean is a regular contributor to Green Dot Daily, Action Network’s daily (M-F) show that airs live at 3 p.m. ET on YouTube.

Experience

Sean began betting in 2007 when he first learned about Wong teasers. He previously followed a career path in the legal industry, but re-routed toward sports data and information in 2018.

Sean began contributing to the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout for Sports Info Solutions. He previously worked in financial regulatory compliance, including sports at E-TRADE and RBC Capital Markets.

Since joining the Action Network, Sean has become one of the leading voices in the betting spaces of both baseball and MMA. 

Sean’s dedication to his craft is so prevalent that, when Major League Baseball was shut down during the global pandemic in 2020, he began successfully handicapping baseball games in Korea’s professional baseball league, the KBO.

Education

Sean graduated from the University of Miami with degrees in Sports Administration and Philosophy. He later attended law school at Hofstra University and passed the New York State Bar Exam in 2014.

More from Sean Zerillo
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Aug 19, 2025 UTC
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Monday MLB Best Bets & Player Props | Payoff Pitch LIVE

Sean Zerillo
Aug 18, 2025 UTC
1
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Sean Zerillo's Picks

Today
Rodrigo Sezinando +192 vs Daniil Donchenko
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.25u
Bet to +150
24
11
Method of Victory: A. Costa To Win By Decision+170
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.25u
Bet to +115
21
11
Luis Gurule -195 vs Jesus Aguilar
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.5u
Bet to -275 or use in parlay
16
10
2-WAY PARLAY-115
0.29u
SGP. Bet to -125
Tatiana Suarez -450 vs Amanda Lemos
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Amanda Lemos vs Tatiana Suarez Over 1.5 Rounds-180
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
16
8
To Go the Distance: No-105
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.26u
Bet to -110
18
11
2-WAY PARLAY+160
0.25u
Prop Bet: Dusko ITD. Bet to +140
Dusko Todorovic -400 vs Jose Daniel Medina
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
To Go the Distance: No-104
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
13
9
2-WAY PARLAY+650
0.1u
Prop Bet: Dusko wins in R2
Dusko Todorovic -400 vs Jose Daniel Medina
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Winning Round: Round 2+490
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
10
8
2-WAY PARLAY+1150
0.05u
Prop Bet: Dusko wins in R3
Dusko Todorovic -400 vs Jose Daniel Medina
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Winning Round: Round 3+890
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
10
7
Diego Ferreira -110 vs Alexander Hernandez
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.55u
Bet to -130
20
11
Santiago Luna -135 vs Quang Le
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.34u
Bet to -160
20
10
Dustin Stoltzfus +210 vs Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.5u
Bet to +150
23
10
Method of Victory: D. Stoltzfus To Win By Submission+1300
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.05u
Bet to +750
15
10
Rafa Garcia +210 vs Jared Gordon
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.25u
Bet to +175
22
9
Method of Victory: R. Garcia To Win By Decision+400
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.1u
Garcia by DEC
12
7
Rob Font -115 vs David Martinez
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.58u
Bet to -125
20
10
2-WAY PARLAY-120
0.3u
SGP 🪜
Jean Silva -250 vs Diego Lopes
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva Over 1.5 Rounds-225
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
2-WAY PARLAY+140
0.1u
SGP 🪜
Jean Silva -250 vs Diego Lopes
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva Over 2.5 Rounds-165
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
2-WAY PARLAY+220
0.1u
Jean Silva -250 vs Diego Lopes
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva Over 3.5 Rounds+100
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Method of Victory: JE.SILVA To Win By Decision+500
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
0.05u
SGP 🪜
Pending
Oneil Cruz: 30+ Home Runs+250
0.25u
Ignore if you bet this already - had to retrack to file under futures. Bet365. Bet to +225
12
9
Futures
Arizona Diamondbacks (Yes)-106
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.53u
Bet to -120
130
27
San Diego Padres (No)+120
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Bet to -125
107
18
San Diego Padres u87.5+100
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet to 86
121
21
New York Yankees u93.5-110
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 92
122
17
Washington Nationals o69.5-120
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.6u
Bet to 70.5
121
23
Toronto Blue Jays o77.5-110
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 81
163
19
Atlanta Braves+160
2025 MLB NL East - To Win
1u
Bet to +110
146
22
Texas Rangers+250
2025 MLB AL West - To Win
1u
Bet to +150
163
21
Texas Rangers+1200
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.25u
Bet to +900
145
23
Philadelphia Phillies u91.5-103
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.52u
Bet to 90
123
13
Cincinnati Reds o78.5-115
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.58u
Bet to 78.5. First team I’ve been opposite / against PECOTA - ten win differential in our projections; aligned on other bets thus far
126
18
Cleveland Guardians (No)-110
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.28u
Bet to -175
87
12
Kansas City Royals (No)-135
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.41u
Small / structured with Tigers to -135
76
14
Detroit Tigers+275
2025 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.5u
Bet to +250. Think the AL Central only gets one playoff team; Tigers or Twins for me
138
18
Detroit Tigers+1300
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Poke to +1200. AL wide open. Want small Pennant shares of TEX, DET, BOS and maybe TB in preseason and look to add more in season
126
17
Boston Red Sox+1400
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Poke to +1200. AL wide open. Want small Pennant shares of TEX, DET, BOS and maybe TB or TOR in spring and will add more in season
106
17
Christian Moore+3500
2025 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.15u
Added 2/24. More awards bets unveiled next week but I expect this to move. Like to +1500 +3000 at Fanatics, +2000 at CZR Only 23 GP at Double-A but would have gotten September callup without injury. Angels had same aggressive promotion for Schanuel (17 games above A ball) and Neto (41 above A ball) Wash loves him: stories every day about them trying to find him a position plus Rendon + Moncada already hurt Most optimistic current projection has him at 280 PA; if he makes OD roster may double that
94
19
Baltimore Orioles+325
2025 MLB AL East - To Win
0.5u
My full team futures guide is out now! This is just one of the bets I added to the current card - remainder will be entered in App this evening. Bet to +275 https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2025-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-futures-bets
104
11
Cincinnati Reds o78.5-110
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.28u
Adding at 78.5 or better
60
15
Cleveland Guardians u83.5-120
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.6u
Bet to 82
79
13
Kansas City Royals u83.5-110
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet at 83.5 or better
57
12
New York Yankees u93.5-115
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.58u
Adding. Bet to 92
56
11
Philadelphia Phillies u91.5-102
2025 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.51u
Adding. Bet to 90
59
10
Cincinnati Reds+500
2025 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.2u
Bet to +450
99
15
Arizona Diamondbacks (Yes)-108
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.54u
Adding to -130
58
15
Cleveland Guardians (No)-130
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.33u
Adding to -175
47
11
Chicago Cubs (Yes)-130
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1.3u
Bet to -175
83
13
Milwaukee Brewers (No)-120
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.6u
Bet to -140
62
12
Minnesota Twins (Yes)+120
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.5u
Bet to -110
78
12
New York Yankees (No)+345
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.1u
Poke to +300
69
10
Tampa Bay Rays (Yes)+230
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Bet to +200
67
11
Texas Rangers (Yes)-110
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.55u
Bet365. Bet to -135
78
13
Atlanta Braves+1000
2025 MLB World Series - To Win
0.25u
Bet to +900
89
15
Tampa Bay Rays+3000
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Bet to +2000
90
14
Kyle Schwarber+5000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Bet365. Stat leader preview coming later this week but discussed these publicly so felt I should release both Odds don’t reflect new lineup spot. Take to +3000
85
12
Trea Turner+5000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Bet365. Odds don’t reflect new lineup spot. Take to +3000
104
11
Corbin Carroll+2000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.15u
My Stat Leader Futures Article is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-2025-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-strikeouts-stolen-bases-wins-saves Click the article for all the bets NOW; will track the full card in the App over the weekend Bet365. Bet to +1050
69
12
Felix Bautista+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +2000
55
10
Raisel Iglesias+1400
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Bet to +1350
40
6
Zack Wheeler+1200
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Bet to +850
43
8
Tarik Skubal+1100
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Bet to +950
44
10
Paul Skenes+1500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +1100
47
9
Max Fried+4000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.05u
Bet365. Bet to +4000
46
7
Framber Valdez+4000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Bet to +2000
44
9
Gerrit Cole+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Bet 365. Bet to +1750
35
5
Dylan Cease+1600
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
Bet to +1100
44
6
Garrett Crochet+1300
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
Bet to +900
49
6
Jacob deGrom+4000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
Bet to +3000
46
8
Hunter Greene+3000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
Bet to +3000
45
8
Robbie Ray+7500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.05u
Bet365. Bet to +7500
38
6
Chris Sale+3300
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +2000
50
7
Blake Snell+1700
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
Bet to +1400
47
8
Vladimir Guerrero+1600
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
Bet to +1100
36
7
Shohei Ohtani+3000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
Bet to +2250
31
7
Jackson Merrill+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +1700
38
8
Bobby Witt+800
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.15u
Bet to +725
38
8
Julio Rodriguez+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
Bet to +2000
30
9
Pete Alonso+1900
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Bet to +1700
37
7
Yordan Alvarez+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.15u
Bet365. Bet to +1600
44
8
Matt Olson+3500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Bet to +3300
38
6
Brent Rooker+3000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Bet to +2500
39
8
Juan Soto+3300
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Bet to +2500
54
8
Elly De La Cruz+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +2200
35
7
Gunnar Henderson+1600
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +1050
37
7
Marcus Semien+7500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.05u
Bet365. Bet to +4000
36
6
Pete Alonso+2000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Bet to +1500
27
6
Yordan Alvarez+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +1700
25
7
Vladimir Guerrero+3500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Bet to +1200
34
7
Shohei Ohtani+1200
2025 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +700
32
8
Matt Olson+2000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +900
32
6
Corbin Carroll+900
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.15u
Bet to +750. Left spring game today (3/2) with tightness just monitor to make sure he won’t start the season on IL
36
7
Shohei Ohtani+7000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.03u
Bet to +3000
41
9
Victor Robles+2500
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Bet to +1900
39
9
Brice Turang+1600
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Bet to +1400
35
9
Bobby Witt+2000
2025 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Bet to +1200
36
8
Wyatt Langford+6000
2025 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
Player Awards Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-futures-bets-predictions-mvp-cy-young-rookie-of-the-year Bet to +3500. Will add remaining Awards bets to App this weekend (Read the article if you want them now)
49
13
New York Yankees (No)+240
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Added 3/17. Add to +185. Two projections south of 50%. Average of 57%. Clarke Schmidt shoulder injury now too
48
10
Cam Smith+3000
2025 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
Bet to +2000. Trending toward making OD roster and projections far too low if he does
32
9
Juan Brito+7500
2025 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
Bet to +3500
25
7
Kumar Rocker+2000
2025 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Bet to +1000
32
7
Jacob Wilson+1500
2025 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Bet to +750
30
8
Bubba Chandler+1000
2025 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Bret to +1000
32
9
Thomas Saggese+3000
2025 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
Bet to +3000
25
7
Agustin Ramirez+4000
2025 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
Bet to +4000
26
8
Rhett Lowder+4000
2025 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
Bet to +3000
34
9
Logan Gilbert+1600
2025 MLB American League Cy Young
0.15u
Bet to +1000
40
7
Jacob deGrom+1500
2025 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
Bet to +1000
34
6
Pablo Lopez+2200
2025 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
Bet to +2000
24
7
Hunter Brown+2500
2025 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +2000
31
7
Hunter Greene+3200
2025 MLB National League Cy Young
0.05u
Bet to +2500
32
7
Cristopher Sanchez+5000
2025 MLB National League Cy Young
0.05u
Bet to +3500
22
7
Spencer Schwellenbach+5000
2025 MLB National League Cy Young
0.05u
Bet to +4000
23
7
Logan Webb+3000
2025 MLB National League Cy Young
0.05u
Bet to +2500
34
7
Clay Holmes+15000
2025 MLB National League Cy Young
0.01u
Bet to +12500
32
8
Julio Rodriguez+2800
2025 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
Bet365. Bet to +1750
36
7
Jose Ramirez+2000
2025 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
Bet to +2000
28
9
Vladimir Guerrero+1800
2025 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
Bet to +1500
30
8
Riley Greene+7500
2025 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
Bet to +5000
30
7
Corbin Carroll+4500
2025 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
Bet to +2500
37
7
Austin Riley+5000
2025 MLB National League MVP
0.05u
Bet to +4000
32
6
Paul Skenes+6500
2025 MLB National League MVP
0.05u
Bet to +5000
33
8
Elly De La Cruz+3000
2025 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
Bet to +2500
24
7
Kyle Tucker+1700
2025 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
Bet to +1500
32
7
Sean Burke+15000
2025 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.01u
Bet to 100-1
13
5
Yusei Kikuchi+10000
2025 MLB American League Cy Young
0.01u
Bet to +6000
31
8
Cleveland Guardians (No)-140
2025 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.35u
Best value on the board before opening day - wanted to hit one more time. I make this -244 and I give CLE the highest chance of making the playoffs (29%) vs. public projections: PECOTA at 25%, FG 23.5%, ATC 20.7%, BAT 20.5%, OOPSY 15.4%; public consensus makes it -375 to miss
48
9
Seattle Mariners+400
2025 MLB AL West - To Win
0.25u
Bet to +325. Added 7/17. Avg. Projection: +266. Home series vs a banged up Astros team right out of the break
86
15
Seattle Mariners+1400
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Bet to +1000. Added 7/17. Have Rays (+3000), Red Sox (+1400), Tigers (+1300) each at 0.1u from March so trying not to over-allocate but this is my favorite of the three bets on Seattle that I’m adding here and would increase to 0.25u if you aren’t building a portfolio
75
14
Seattle Mariners+3000
2025 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Bet to +2000. Added 7/17. Avg. Projection +1595. Only team that is currently a consensus value futures bet and seem likely to flip prospects for impact hitter (hopefully Naylor) at deadline. Prefer Pennant to WS but laddering
74
14
Seattle Mariners+1100
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Added 7/24 Wanted Naylor, got Naylor. Get Suarez too? Took +3000 WS and +1400 AL last week at AS break. Would take down to +2000 and +800 currently (projections around 5.5% and 12% respectively before the trade) Stake .2u on Pennant and .1 on WS if you didn't bet previously - just bumping here.
57
14
Seattle Mariners+1000
2025 MLB American League - To Win
0.3u
Added 7/31. Got Suarez and improved the pen - betting one more time. Bringing position up to 0.5u on AL Pennant. Bet to +600
72
15
Seattle Mariners+2400
2025 MLB World Series - To Win
0.15u
Added 7/31. Bet to +1600. Position now 0.25u
67
16
Atlanta Falcons+225
2025 NFL NFC South - To Win
0.67u
Makes a ton of sense if you like Falcons outright Week 1
7
6
Past Performance
Yesterday3-9-025%
-3.31u
Last 7 Days42-56-142%
-7.77u
Last 30 Days186-189-449%
-0.40u
All Time13349-14181-103247%
113.65u
Top Leagues
MLB7241-7707-75946%
142.76u
NFL1318-1120-4453%
38.17u
UFC1248-1615-1443%
33.26u
WTA125-116-850%
8.68u
Champions98-81-952%
8.53u
NBA525-477-1352%
7.23u
La Liga86-77-1548%
4.36u
World Cup20-32-138%
3.20u
European Championship18-14-253%
2.38u
UFL6-5-055%
1.78u
Serie A116-107-1948%
0.89u
WNBA6-3-067%
0.82u
Boxing1-1-050%
0.10u
MLS47-39-1646%
-0.22u
Europa League0-1-10%
-0.58u
Golf12-66-015%
-2.36u
NASCAR0-14-00%
-2.81u
Bundesliga111-115-2045%
-3.11u
Premier League225-248-4643%
-14.08u
ATP252-319-943%
-20.04u
NHL513-592-046%
-20.87u
NCAAB621-636-1749%
-29.00u
NCAAF738-768-3848%
-54.60u