Astros vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2023

Astros at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Houston Astros

0-0

13 - 5

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			4.30	6-5
C.Javier			4.56	10-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-0	+1.5-182	o10-115	+110
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+145	u10-110	-130

Monday 11:10 p.m.

August 28, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

C.Javier u5.5 Ks-152

0.66u

HOU +112

$1.12

Under 10-110

$1.00

Under 10-110

0.55u

Need -110

BOS -120

1.2u

Available at FanDuel. I've got the Red Sox at 60.6% to win, up from 54.6% implied. This is largely due to the struggles of Cristian Javier. Javier had been struggling for the entire summer, and I thought it may have been because he had really cut back on his curve usage. But last time out -- against Boston -- he went back to the curve, and it didn't help matters much. He still had just three walks to three strikeouts, and he let up three earned across five innings. For the season, Javier has a 4.93 SIERA and 4.73 expected ERA. The Astros also got to Chris Sale a bit last week, so it's not like that side of things is secure, but I do think Boston should be a bit more heavily favored here.

Featured Insight
Red Sox Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fourth-highest in MLB. Astros have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Astros have scored first in 55% of their games since last season -- fourth-highest in MLB. The Red Sox have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games since last season -- eighth-highest in MLB.

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Monday MLB Props: Bet Elder & 2 More
Alex Hinton•
Aug 28, 2023 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	LAD	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	LAD +100
Aug 26th	LAD	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 10	BOS +108
Aug 25th	LAD	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 10	LAD +108
Aug 24th	@HOU	W 17-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS +125
Aug 24th	@HOU	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -110

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	100	4	4	4
RK.Graveman, P	19	1	1	0
RJ.Urquidy, P	57	4	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	4-6	4	1	4
1M.Dubon, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	2	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	4-4	2	1	4
3J.Meyers, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Meyers, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	2-5	1	0	0
4C.Julks, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Abreu, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
6C.McCormick, CF	1-4	0	0	1
6C.McCormick, RF	1-4	0	0	1
7Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	1	0	1
8J.Pena, SS	2-5	1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-6	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P		92	4.2	6	3
RK. Barraclough, P		94	4.1	1	10

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Rafaela, CF	1-1	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	3-3	3	0	0
5A.Duvall, CF	1-3	1	1	2
5D.Hamilton, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0	2
7T.Story, SS	1-5	0	0	0
8C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
9L.Urias, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0