Brewers vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Brewers at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

0 - 5

Chicago Cubs

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.74	7-6
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 3-6	+1.5	-1.5+133	o6.5-108	-142
Cubs 4-4	u8.5	+1.5-159	u6.5-112	+120

Sunday 6:20 p.m.

May 05, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 6.5-115

0.5u

Under 6.5-110

0.91u

MIL -130

1.95u

Brewers don’t respect coin

Under 6.5-105

0.5u

Bet to 6 (-101)

CHC +120

0.6u

BOL. Bet to +105

Cubs vs. Brewers: Back Peralta at Wrigley
Sean Paul•
May 5, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

88% of non-fastball strikeouts for Nico Hoerner are located out of the zone this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 91% of Freddy Peralta non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (36/84) against Freddy Peralta this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 34% (45 SO in 132 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	MIL	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC -135
May 3rd	MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIL -119
May 2nd	@NYM	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8	NYM -105
May 1st	@NYM	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -121
Apr 30th	@NYM	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYM +103

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	97	5	5	3
RT.Vieira, P	16	1	0	1
RJ.Junk, P	38	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	0
3T.Black, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6R.Hoskins, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7O.Dunn, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Perkins, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Chourio, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Bauers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Bauers, LF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Assad, P	94	6	4
RY.Almonte, P	19	2	3
RD.Palencia, P	12	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	1	0	2
2M.Tauchman, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-1	0	0	1
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	1	1
7P.Wisdom, DH	1-3	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-2	1	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	1	0	0