Cardinals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2024

Cardinals at Braves

5:35 pm • BSSE

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

6 - 2

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	+1.5-166	o9-101	+120
Braves 0-0	-1.5+140	u9-118	-142

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

July 21, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases-125

ATL o2.5 Team Total (F5)+114

$50.00

Under 9-110

0.45u

Flat to -114

ATL -0.5 (F5)+100

S.Schwellenbach o4.5 Ks-135

Wrote about him on Friday before his start got rained out - I like what I’ve seen from him. Coming off a double header yesterday, could have a slightly longer leash.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Cardinals RPs since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Cardinals are 12-8 (.600) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .676 since last season -- fifth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .539 (319 PAs) since last season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (66 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 -- first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (102 Total Bases / 171 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	STL	L 5-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	STL +102
Jul 20th	STL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL -142
Jul 14th	@SD	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7	ATL -166
Jul 13th	@SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 7	SD +117
Jul 13th	@SD	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -102

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	88	6	3	2
RR.Fernandez, P	9	1	1	0
RA.Kittredge, P	10	1	0	0
RR.Helsley, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, DH	2-5	1	1	2
3W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	1	1
4B.Donovan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-3	1	1	1
7P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	98	6	8	4
LA.Minter, P	10	1	2	0
RJ.Chavez, P	39	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2Z.Short, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	1