Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - October 4, 2022

Cardinals at Pirates

10:35 pm • SportsNet PT

St. Louis Cardinals

0-1

8 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Brubaker			4.69	3-12
D.Hudson			4.45	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-1	-1.5+144	o7.5-114	-117
Pirates 1-0	+1.5-173	u7.5-104	+103

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

October 04, 2022

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT +100 (F5)

0.5u

MGM. Bet to -103. Still waiting on an official Pirates lineup but this line has started to get away at other books. Definitive advantage for Brubaker over Hudson, and Helsley will get work in late in the game so want to avoid him too

PIT +102

4 MLB Games with Value Picks Due to Wind
Avery Yang•
Oct 4, 2022 UTC

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The Cardinals are 27-22 (.551) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nolan Arenado has struck out in just 12% of PA's this season -- seventh lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for 10th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

Nolan Arenado has an OPS of .891 this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of .831 (494 PAs) this season -- seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (107/568) against Dakota Hudson this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 3rd	STL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	PIT +135
Oct 2nd	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 7	PIT +163
Oct 1st	@STL	L 3-13	+1.5 L	O 6.5	STL +190
Oct 1st	@STL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	STL +184
Sep 28th	CIN	W 4-3	-1 L	U 7.5	PIT -124

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Hudson, P	67	2.2	1	7
RA.Pallante, P	13	1.1	0	0
LJ.Romero, P	27	2	2	0
RJ.Flaherty, P	19	1	1	0
RR.Helsley, P	5	0.1	0	0
LZ.Thompson, P	15	0.2	0	0
RC.Stratton, P	40	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	2-5	2	1
2L.Nootbaar, RF	1-5	1	0
2L.Nootbaar, LF	1-5	1	0
3P.Goldschmidt, DH	0-3	0	1
3C. Dickerson, PH	2-2	1	2
3C. Dickerson, DH	2-2	1	2
4A. Pujols, 1B	1-2	0	2
4B. DeLuzio, CF	0-3	1	0
5A.Burleson, LF	0-4	0	0
5A.Burleson, 1B	0-4	0	0
6J.Yepez, 3B	1-4	0	1
7D.Carlson, CF	0-5	0	0
7D.Carlson, RF	0-5	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	2-5	1	0
9P.DeJong, SS	2-4	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Brubaker, P	47	2.2	2	3
RB.Wilson, P	50	3.1	1	2
RD. Underwood, P	18	1	3	0
RR.Stephenson, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	17	1	0	0
RC. De Jong, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	3-6	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	0
3R.Castro, 2B	2-5	1	1
3R.Castro, 3B	2-5	1	1
4M.Andujar, DH	1-5	1	2
5J.Suwinski, RF	2-4	1	1
6K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	1	0
6J.Delay, C	0-0	0	0
7B.Gamel, 1B	1-5	0	1
8T.Heineman, C	0-3	0	0
8K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	0
8K.Newman, 2B	0-1	0	0
9J.Bae, CF	2-5	1	1