Cubs vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Cubs at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Chicago Cubs

4-4

0 - 17

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Winckowski			4.14	4-2
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 4-4	-1.5	-1.5+136	o9-110	-118
Red Sox 1-2	u8.5	+1.5-162	u9-110	-101

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Cubs RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. The Red Sox are batting just .182 with RISP over the last two weeks -- fourth worst in MLB.

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A Staggering Saturday Betting Model Edge
PJ Walsh•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Bobby Dalbec has an OPS of just .268 this season -- fourth worst among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- first Percentile. Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OPS of just .150 (20 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Enmanuel Valdez has an OPS of just .444 this season -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Keegan Thompson has allowed an OPS of just .296 (35 PAs) this season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .481 (50-for-104) against Josh Winckowski when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .331 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CHC	L 1-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CHC -108
Apr 25th	@CLE	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE +110
Apr 24th	@CLE	W 8-0	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +110
Apr 23rd	@CLE	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE +105
Apr 21st	@PIT	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +130

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	61	3.2	4	3
LL.Little, P	34	0.2	1	5
RC.Brewer, P	42	2.2	1	3
RP.Wisdom, P	13	0.1	0	0
RM.Mervis, P	37	0.2	0	6

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1N.Hoerner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3N.Madrigal, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Wisdom, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Canario, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	2-4	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Winckowski, P	52	3	1
LB.Bernardino, P	19	1	1
RJ.Slaten, P	25	2	2
LC.Booser, P	27	2	3
RP.Reyes, P	18	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Reyes, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	3-5	3	1	2
4W.Abreu, RF	2-6	2	0	1
5C.Wong, C	0-4	1	0	0
5C.Wong, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	4-5	3	0	1
6R.McGuire, C	0-0	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
7R.Refsnyder, PH	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, PR	1-2	2	0	1
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-2	2	0	1
8B.Dalbec, 1B	2-4	2	0	3
8B.Dalbec, 3B	2-4	2	0	3
9C.Rafaela, SS	4-4	3	1	7