Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 19, 2024

Diamondbacks at Cubs

6:20 pm • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

5 - 2

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.07	5-5
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 10-10	+1.5-165	o8-105	+124
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+140	u8-112	-149

Friday 6:20 p.m.

July 19, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

0.19u

#Tailing @Bigboss6

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

Under 8-110

CHC -140 (F5)

Under 4.5 (F5)-122

1.25u

R.Nelson u4.5 Ks+100

0.5u

Under 7.5-115

0.43u

Flat to -117

CHC -105 (F5)

0.53u

Bet to -133

CHC +102

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -120

CHC -105

1.05u

Under 7.5-120

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Featured Insight
Cubs have struck out just 17% over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

35% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts are looking this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 43% of Jorge Lopez strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (46/146) against Ryne Nelson this season -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has not allowed a walk in his last 80 PAs against a RHH dating back to June 8th -- Jon Gray has the longest active streak at 149.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 14th	@STL	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +106
Jul 14th	@STL	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +123
Jul 13th	@STL	L 3-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	STL +114
Jul 13th	@STL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CHC +170
Jul 11th	@BAL	W 8-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC +114

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	96	5.2	9	1
RK.Ginkel, P	21	1.1	1	0
RJ.Martinez, P	15	0	0	1
RR.Thompson, P	22	1	1	0
RP.Sewald, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	0
2G.Moreno, C	3-5	2	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	1	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	2
5R.Grichuk, DH	2-5	0	1
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0
7C.Carroll, RF	0-2	0	1
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	94	4.2	6	5
RH.Wesneski, P	23	1.1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	22	1	2	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	16	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	3-5	1	0
2M.Busch, 1B	1-4	1	0
3S.Suzuki, RF	0-3	0	0
4I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	1
5C.Morel, DH	1-3	0	1
6D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	1-4	0	0
8T.Nido, C	0-2	0	0
8M.Tauchman, PH	0-2	0	0
8M.Tauchman, CF	0-2	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-1	0	0