Padres vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2024

Padres at Guardians

5:40 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

90-72

2 - 1

Cleveland Guardians

88-74

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 90-72	-1.5+154	o7.5-113	-110
Guardians 88-74	+1.5-183	u7.5-107	-110

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

July 21, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-112

M.Machado o0.5 HR+500

0.25u

CLE -115

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

CLE -104

0.52u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Padres this season -- fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .277 with RISP this season -- third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .282 (100-for-355) against Padres RPs with RISP this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Steven Kwan has an OPS of .911 this season -- 11th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Enyel De Los Santos has allowed an OPS of .861 (158 PAs) this season -- eighth worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 8% (4/48) against Ben Lively this month (3 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of .630 (92 Total Bases / 146 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .430 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	SD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	SD -117
Jul 19th	SD	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -165
Jul 14th	@TB	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +110
Jul 13th	@TB	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -112
Jul 12th	@TB	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +120

Edward Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Joseph Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	85	7	6	1
RJ.Estrada, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	16	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-4	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, DH	2-4	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-3	1	0
7D.Peralta, RF	0-3	0	0
7B.Johnson, PR	0-0	0	0
7B.Johnson, RF	0-0	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	0
9K.Higashioka, C	2-4	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	97	5.1	2	2
RN.Sandlin, P	21	1.1	3	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	20	0.2	0	0
RC.Smith, P	18	0.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	1-3	1	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	1
5D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0
5D.Schneemann, SS	0-3	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-0	0	0
8T.Freeman, PR	0-0	0	0
8T.Freeman, 3B	0-0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0
9B.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0