Padres vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2024

Padres at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

San Diego Padres

5-14

6 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
A.Mazur			7.49	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 5-14	+1.5-120	o9-102	+168
Orioles 8-10	-1.5+100	u9-118	-202

Friday 11:05 p.m.

July 26, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

M.Machado o3.5 Total Bases+350

0.25u

A.Santander o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

M.Machado o0.5 HR+560

0.25u

M.Machado o175 RBI+390

0.25u

G.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks-140

Projection lands at 5.17 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -168 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

SD +165

1.65u

SD +1.5-110

2.73u

A.Mazur u3.5 Ks-150

0.33u

Projection lands at 3.31 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

BAL -205

BP6

Featured Insight
The Padres have allowed just 2.2 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (5 games). The Orioles have scored just 2.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (4 games).

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The Padres are 15-12 (.556) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .456.

Cedric Mullins has an OPS of just .702 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .549 (451 PAs) since the 2022 season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Adam Mazur has an ERA of 9.35 (8.2 IP)this month (2 games) -- 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 4.16 -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (10/79) against Adam Mazur this month (2 games) -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	@MIA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	BAL -207
Jul 24th	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -136
Jul 23rd	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -174
Jul 21st	@TEX	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +110
Jul 20th	@TEX	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -107

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Mazur, P	39	2.2	1	1
LA.Davis, P	18	0.2	1	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	11	1.2	0	0
LY.Matsui, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Estrada, P	12	0.2	1	0
LA.Morejon, P	18	0.2	1	2
RR.Suarez, P	19	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-5	2	2	4
2B.Johnson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	3-4	1	0	1
6J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0	1
7D.Peralta, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	2-4	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	2-4	0	0	0
9T.Wade, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	96	5	2	2
RB.Smith, P	24	1	1	1
LK.Akin, P	16	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	17	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	21	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-5	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, DH	2-4	1	0	0
5J.Westburg, 3B	1-3	2	1	1
5J.Westburg, 2B	1-3	2	1	1
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Pache, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Urias, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	2
8C.Cowser, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, LF	2-4	0	0	0
9C.Norby, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Mullins, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Mullins, CF	0-1	0	0	0