Rays vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2023

Rays at Astros

11:15 pm • FOX

Tampa Bay Rays

31-15

4 - 17

Houston Astros

19-30

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			5.09	11-13
T.Bradley			5.59	5-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 31-15	N/A	N/A	N/A
Astros 19-30	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 29, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -130

0.77u

T.Bradley o4.5 Ks-128

HOU -140

$0.71

TB +125

0.5u

Bet to +119

TB +123

TB +125

Bradley (3.39 SIERA/4.20 xERA) is slightly behind Brown (3.50/3.95) - TBR 19 pt wRC+ edge v RHP (though probably closer now) - TBR slightly better defense - TBR pen estimators 1/2 run better L30 days

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The Astros are 16-8 (.667) after a road loss this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

Yandy Diaz is batting .291 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Hunter Brown has thrown a breaking pitch 51% of the time since last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

35% of Jose Siri strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 13th highest among hitters with at least 151 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 37% of Hunter Brown's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (41/80) against Hunter Brown on low non-fastballs this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (63/114) against Hunter Brown in two-strike counts this season -- 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (61/194) against Taj Bradley this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 8-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Astros' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-29	11-15	8-14	4-11	15-17
Rays	28-17	15-6	13-11	16-9	12-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	27-18-3	16-9-1	11-9-2	9-6	17-12-3
Rays	23-20-2	9-11-1	14-9-1	13-10-2	10-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-29	12-14	7-15	5-10	14-18
Rays	30-15	16-5	14-10	18-7	12-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	TB	L 3-4	-	-	-
Jul 27th	TEX	L 5-13	-	-	-
Jul 26th	TEX	W 4-3	-	-	-
Jul 25th	TEX	W 10-9	-	-	-
Jul 23rd	@ATH	W 3-2	-	-	-

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	86	3.1	4	5
RK.Kelly, P	9	0.2	1	0
RC.Faucher, P	53	2	2	6
RR.Pinto, P	26	1	0	5
LJ.Diekman, P	14	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
1V.Brujan, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	2-3	1	1	1
3B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	1	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	2-3	2	2	3
5I.Paredes, 1B	2-3	2	2	3
6H.Ramirez, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Margot, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	95	6	4	2
RR.Stanek, P	7	1	2	0
LP.Mushinski, P	13	1	0	1
RR.Montero, P	28	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	1	1	2
1M.Dubon, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Pena, SS	2-6	1	0	4
3K.Tucker, RF	0-6	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-3	2	1	2
5Y.Alvarez, LF	3-5	3	1	1
5C.Julks, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Abreu, 1B	3-3	3	1	3
6G.Kessinger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6G.Kessinger, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, DH	3-5	3	0	2
8Y.Diaz, C	2-5	2	1	3
9J.Meyers, CF	3-3	2	0	0