Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024
Red Sox at Marlins
5:10 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 5.40 | 0-2 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.14 | 6-12 |
Red Sox at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Red Sox 13-11 | -1.5+105 | o8-118 | -155 | |
![]() Marlins 10-12 | +1.5-125 | u8-102 | +130 |

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Expert Picks

FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 4-3-0 (+0.7u)
BOS -128 (Live)
0.78u

The Degenerate
Last 30d: 96-140-3 (-4.7u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-125
0.8u
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-113
0.5u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 169-171-19 (-1.2u)
Under 8.5-115
0.58u
Bet to -120 or 8 (-102)
PRO Insights

Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 3.6 runs per game on the road this season -- lowest in MLB (41 games). The Marlins have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home this season -- fifth lowest in MLB (44 games).
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Red Sox are 68-54 (.557) after a win since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Red Sox are 37-29 (.561) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Marlins are just 27-35 (.435) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Marlins are just 20-32 (.385) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Matchup Contrasts
Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .679 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .519 (455 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .185 (508 PA's) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- 98th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .776 (225 Total Bases / 290 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .573 -- 0 Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Marlins' 14 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Ryan WeathersP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
- Connor WongC
Wong is out with finger
Out
- Patrick SandovalP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Masataka YoshidaOF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out
Red Sox vs. Marlins Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 89 | 7 | 10 | 0 | |
![]() | 19 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 10 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
![]() | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 87 | 5.1 | 3 | 2 | |
![]() | 19 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
![]() | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Red Sox at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Red Sox 13-11 | o4.5-110 | u4.5-120 |
![]() Marlins 10-12 | o3.5-105 | u3.5-125 |