Royals vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2024

Royals at Astros

6:10 pm • SCHN

Kansas City Royals

3-3

2 - 7

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6
A.Marsh			4.54	9-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	+1.5-157	o8.5-105	+135
Astros 0-2	-1.5+131	u8.5-115	-160

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

September 01, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-110

HOU -158

1.23u

B.Witt o0.5 HR+400

HOU o2.5 Team Total (F5)-104

R.Blanco u5.5 Ks-102

Yeah, the royals were gross yesterday, but still going to rely on them today. Blanco is under in 8/L12, and on a shorter leash than he was to start the season - he’s only reached 90 pitches once in his L4 starts, as he’s already 20+ IP over his career high. Royals at a 19.9% K% vs righties in away games over the L30 days.

HOU -140 (F5)

0.36u

Flat to -150

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Featured Insight
Astros have won 58% of their games on the road since last season -- third best in MLB. Royals have won just 39% of their games on the road since last season -- fourth worst.

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The Royals are 71-17 (.807) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

MJ Melendez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Maikel Garcia has an OPS of just .656 since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .524 (534 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (50/181) against Alec Marsh with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (35/181) against Alec Marsh with runners in scoring position this season -- 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 10th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 31st	KC	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU -127
Aug 31st	KC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU -188
Aug 30th	KC	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	HOU -165
Aug 28th	@PHI	W 10-0	-1.5 W	U 10	HOU -122
Aug 27th	@PHI	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 9	PHI +117

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	73	5	5	3
LS.Long, P	15	1	1	1
RC.Hernandez, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	16	0.1	0	3
RC.Stratton, P	15	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	2-5	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3M.Massey, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Melendez, LF	1-2	1	0	0
6F.Fermin, C	1-3	0	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, DH	1-3	0	0	1
7D.Blanco, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Blanco, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Garcia, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	101	5	3	0
RT.Scott, P	33	1	2	1
RH.Neris, P	14	1	1	1
RB.Abreu, P	10	1	0	0
RK.Ort, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, LF	2-4	2	2	2
2J.Heyward, RF	0-0	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, C	1-4	1	0	1
4J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	2
5B.Gamel, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5B.Gamel, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
7J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8S.Whitcomb, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Dubon, 2B	2-3	1	0	0