The Baltimore Orioles host the Athletics on May 10, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA.
The Orioles are -110 on the moneyline. The A's are -106 on the moneyline. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Athletics vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Athletics vs Orioles Prediction
- Athletics vs Orioles Pick: Over 10.5 (-115 or Better)
My Athletics vs Orioles best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Orioles Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 9.5 -122o / -100u | -106 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -178 | 9.5 -122o / -100u | -110 |
- Athletics vs Orioles moneyline: Athletics -106, Orioles -110
- Athletics vs Orioles over/under: 9.5 (-122 / -100)
- Athletics vs Orioles spread: Athletics -1.5 (+146), Orioles +1.5 (-178)
Athletics vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Luis Severino (RHP, ATH) | Stat | Chris Bassitt (RHP, BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 4.15 / 4.48 | ERA / xERA | 5.91 / 5.52 |
| 4.52 / 4.43 | FIP / xFIP | 5.16 / 5.50 |
| 9.7% | K-BB% | 1.9% |
| 42.6% | GB% | 46.4% |
| .306 | BABIP | .369 |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 98 | Location+ | 99 |
Athletics vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
I project this total at around 11.3 runs, so I see plenty of value on the Over.
The main thing driving this projection is the weather. With temperatures near 80 degrees during game time and winds blowing straight out to center field, Camden Yards should be fairly hitter-friendly on Sunday — BallParkPal's weather model projects a +11% runs factor for this game.
It's also worth mentioning that BallParkPal's game simulation model projects around 12.3 runs for this game.
Athletics vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
The A's offense can bash with the best of them. I power rate them as MLB's fourth-best offense.
And I've seen some signs of life from the Orioles offense in recent weeks. Their overall numbers are being dragged down by a dreadful .268 BABIP (29th), but their batted-ball profile looks much improved over the past three weeks (45% hard-hit-rate, 2nd; 9% barrel rate, 1oth). They're also walking a lot more during this recent stretch (11%, 7th).
Meanwhile, I have little respect for either starting pitcher. Plus, according to my numbers, the Athletics bullpen is a mess, while the Orioles boast MLB's third-worst defense.
Pick: Over 10.5 (-115 or Better)
