The Chicago White Sox host the Boston Red Sox on Thursday, July 9. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CHSN and MLB.TV.
The Red Sox enter as short underdogs at +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-200) on the run line. The White Sox, meanwhile, come in as the favorites at -125 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+165) on the run line. The over/under sits at 9 total runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Picks
- Red Sox vs White Sox Pick: Anthony Kay Under 4.5 Strikeouts (Bet to -170)
My Red Sox vs White Sox best bet is on Chicago starting pitcher Anthony Kay to go under his strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs White Sox Odds, Line, Spread
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 9 -102o / -118u | +105 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 9 -102o / -118u | -125 |
- Red Sox vs White Sox Moneyline: Red Sox ML +105, White Sox ML -125
- Red Sox vs White Sox Over/Under: 9 Total Runs
- Red Sox vs White Sox Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 (-200), White Sox -1.5 (+165)
Red Sox vs White Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Patrick Sandoval (BOS) | Stat | LHP Anthony Kay (CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | W-L | 6-3 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 5.08/4.37 | ERA / xERA | 4.29/5.25 |
| 3.87/4.04 | FIP / xFIP | 4.94/4.92 |
| 13.0% | K-BB% | 8.9% |
| 45.0% | GB% | 43.7% |
| .341 | BABIP | .286 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 104 | Location+ | 102 |
Red Sox vs White Sox MLB Pick, Best Bets
While Anthony Kay has righted the ship somewhat after a rough start, he’s struck out exactly 2 in three of his last four starts and fewer than five in five of his last seven.
He owns a 10.4 SwStr% during this stretch, but skewed by single-game marks of 19.1% and 14.9%.
Additionally, his strikeout rate drops to a paltry 14% against RHBs this season. With Kay averaging just 21 batters faced per start and exceeding 22 only once over this seven-start span, he’s projected to face 13 batters with the platoon advantage and potentially as many as 15, depending on whether Jarren Duran or a RHB hit leadoff.
There’s also the fact that the first 21 batters through the projected lineup average just an 18.8 K% against LHP. Whatever problems the Red Sox have had, they still smoke LHP (projected lineup 132 wRC+, .203 ISO).
Finally, the environment in which Kay is expected to be pitching (park, umpire, weather) could decrease strikeouts 8-9%.
It’s going to be difficult for him to reach the five strikeouts needed for his strikeout prop on Thursday.
Picks: Anthony Kay Under 4.5 Strikeouts (Bet to -170)
