It’s another classic "Wrigley Wind" day on the North Side.
While the weather report for Tuesday night's Cubs vs. Reds game shows modest winds, the wind is expected to be blowing cross-field toward the third-base side.
Combine that with temperatures in the mid-50s, and we should see a significantly suppressed run-scoring environment.
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions: Wrigley Field Wind Today
As you might know, betting Unders at Wrigley where the wind is either blowing in or cross-field is historically very profitable.
We have an Action PRO System dedicated to tracking this exact phenomenon.
Action PRO System: Wrigley Field Unders
Since 2005, when the wind is blowing either in or cross-field at Wrigley, the Under is 304-200-27, a 60.3% win rate providing a 15.7% ROI.
As written by our own Evan Abrams:
This System focuses exclusively on Cubs home games, where wind direction is a major scoring variable. When the wind blows in or across (from the sides), and the total opens between eight and 13, Unders become highly valuable. Wrigley is uniquely sensitive to weather due to its field orientation and lack of a dome, making it the premier ballpark for wind-based betting edges.
Between the wind direction and the mid-50s temperatures, BallParkPal's weather model projects a -17% run-scoring factor for today's game, lowering his projected total by 1.52 runs compared to a weather-neutral day.
Similarly, our own Sean Zerillo projects a significant edge on the Under in this matchup. While the consensus line sits around 8.5, he projects it closer to 7.5, likely due to a significant weather-related adjustment.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
