The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians on June 3, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CLEG.
The Yankees are favored by -163 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Guardians are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Guardians vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction
- Guardians vs Yankees Pick: Under 7.5 (-122; play to 7)
My Guardians vs Yankees best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Yankees Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -158 | 7.5 102o / -122u | +135 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +131 | 7.5 102o / -122u | -163 |
- Guardians vs Yankees moneyline: Guardians +135, Yankees -163
- Guardians vs Yankees over/under: 7.5 (+102o / -122u)
- Guardians vs Yankees spread: Guardians +1.5 (-158), Yankees -1.5 (+131)
Guardians vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| RHP Gavin Williams (CLE) | Stat | RHP Gerrit Cole (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.07/4.21 | ERA / xERA | 0.00/2.19 |
| 3.34/3.06 | FIP / xFIP | 1.91/3.71 |
| 21.1% | K-BB% | 20.0% |
| 45.7% | GB% | 16.7% |
| .278 | BABIP | .200 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 103 | Location+ | 99 |
Guardians vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
Guardians vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
After years of hoping his breakout would happen, it has finally arrived for Guardians hurler Gavin Williams.
Williams owns a 3.07 ERA backed by a solid 4.21 xERA and 3.34 FIP. The hard-throwing Williams boosted his K/9 to 10.38 and chopped his BB/9 from 4.46 to 2.83. That was always the knock on Williams. Could he throw enough strikes? And he has this year.
Plus, he pitched well in his two toughest games this year, holding the Rays to 7 2/3 innings with 10 strikeouts and the Dodgers to the same in 7 innings.
The Guardians' offense was about what you'd expect in May. They finished 15th in MLB with a 99 wRC+, ranked outside the top-20 in ISO and homers, but second in walk rate and fourth in strikeout rate.
They might not have firepower, but they make pitchers work. Yankees ace Cam Schlittler gave up a season-high six runs on Tuesday and punched out just four batters. That's what Cleveland does: it fouls off two-strike pitches and puts the ball in play, and tries to frustrate pitchers.
The Guardians' bullpen is also a strength. Closer Cade Smith has yet to blow a save and owns a 2.60 ERA. Other arms like Collin Holderman, Tim Herrin, and Hunter Gaddis help bridge the gap to Smith, who shuts the door in the ninth.
While Schlittler has developed into the Yankees' ace, let's not forget about the legendary Gerrit Cole.
Fresh off Tommy John Surgery, Cole has regained his form, tossing 12 2/3 scoreless innings with a 2.19 xERA and 1.91 FIP in two outings. His fastball velocity is half a tick higher than it was in 2024, an encouraging sign after a tough injury.
Arsenal-wise, Cole brought back his changeup, a pitch that used to be a real weapon that he lost his feel for in 2023 and 2024. He threw the changeup 14% of the time through his first two outings, offering a nice change of pace from his upper 90s gas.
Back-to-back MVP winner Aaron Judge missed the series opener due to a nagging rib issue, which explains why he hit .193 with one homer in his last 15 games. We'll see if he plays on Wednesday, but he struggled lately either way.
Even with Judge's struggles, the Yankees are third in MLB with a 123 wRC+ in their past 15 games. Surely that 13-run inning against the Athletics helped, but the Yankees have weapons outside of Judge.
Ben Rice, Jazz Chisholm and Cody Bellinger all have a wRC+ better than 140 in that stretch.
However, facing a pitcher like Williams could spell trouble for a Yankees lineup with their top weapon less than 100%, or not an option at all. That's a pretty clear downgrade to a Yankees offense that is one of the best in the sport.
Just the presence of Judge is a boost for this team.
In all, this feels like a classic pitchers' duel. Williams can shut down elite offensive teams, as we've already seen. And I'm all in on Cole being one of the top pitchers in MLB again. The Guardians are comfortable playing a low-scoring game, so that's right in their wheelhouse.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-122; play to 7)
