The San Diego Padres (6-6) host the Colorado Rockies (6-6) on April 9, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on COLR.
The Padres are favored by -200 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+110) on the run line. The Rockies are +168 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-132) on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs (-100o / -122u).
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Padres Predictions, Pick
- Rockies vs Padres Pick: Under 8 (-115)
My Rockies vs Padres best bet is Under 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -132 | 8 -100o / -122u | +168 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 8 -100o / -122u | -200 |
- Rockies vs Padres spread: Rockies +1.5 (-132), Padres -1.5 (+110)
- Rockies vs Padres over/under: 8 (-100o / -122u)
- Rockies vs Padres moneyline: Rockies +168, Padres -200
Rockies vs Padres Pitchers
| RHP Chase Dollander (COL) | Stat | RHP Randy Vasquez (SD) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 1-0 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 5.40 / 4.57 | ERA / xERA | 0.75 / 3.54 |
| 6.30 / 2.85 | FIP / xFIP | 2.34 / 3.20 |
| 1.44 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 21.6 | K-BB% | 15.2 |
| 52.2 | GB% | 64.5 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 102 | Location+ | 99 |
Rockies vs Padres MLB Betting Preview
Colorado Rockies Trends, Key Players
Is there a bigger story in baseball than a .500 Colorado Rockies team? This oft-downtrodden organization is on a four-game win streak and just swept the Houston Astros, a 2025 playoff team.
Ironically, the Rockies are being carried by their pitching thus far. Their team ERA is 12th in baseball, while their team wRC+ is 24th.
The Rockies do get knocked in wRC+ due to Coors Field's scaling. Their team wOBA is 13th through 12 games, which indicates some help from the offense.
This offense is filled with hot starts from new faces. Offseason acquisitions Troy Johnston, T.J. Rumfield and Willi Castro are contributing early, while incumbent Rockies Hunter Goodman, Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are still trying to find their footing.
Back to the pitching, the early performance is admirable, yet not sustainable. The real test for any Colorado pitcher is in the warm summer months when the mile-high air brutalizes their ERA.
This Rockies' staff –led by veteran Kyle Freeland– is not much different than recent seasons. They are doing well by inducing more groundballs. However, they do not strike out enough batters to maintain this success.
The only upside SP in this rotation is today's likely bulk pitcher, former first-round pick Chase Dollander. Dollander is talented, yet could not crack the opening day rotation.
Paul DePodesta gets a lot of flak (rightly so after the Deshaun Watson trade in Cleveland), but if he can help turn this Rockies team around, they should build him a statue outside of Coors Field.
San Diego Padres Trends, Key Players
The Padres and Rockies have the same record. Does that mean they are on equal footing? Absolutely not.
The Padres boast arguably the best bullpen in baseball, led by the top closer in the majors, Mason Miller. Their starting staff is flawed, but Nick Pivetta alone puts them above the Rockies' rotation.
Even with a mediocre starting staff, San Diego has not lost six games because of them. This offense is ice cold.
They rank 27th in team wRC+ and wOBA through 12 games, despite the presence of multiple former All-Stars.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is the biggest culprit for this start. He is slashing .196/.283/.261 with zero home runs, six runs and four RBI. Nevertheless, it is still very early, and any actual complaints are not valid until we pass the one-month mark.
The samples through 12 games are always going to be skewed. Underperformance and overperformance alike will flip-flop, regardless of the end-of-season result.
The good news is that the Padres do have some bright spots on offense. Their 2025 addition, Ramon Laureano, is continuing his career bounce-back.
He has earned the team's leadoff spot this past week, while 2026 addition Miguel Andujar has contributed from the middle of the order.
The only highly paid Padres hitter doing anything of note is veteran Manny Machado. His 131 wRC+ and 0.3 fWAR lead the team.
Expectations remain low for Xander Bogaerts and his albatross contract, but the Padres should get going as stars Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill get going sooner than later.
Rockies vs Padres Picks, Betting Analysis
Both teams are off to a slow offensive start and have one of their better early-season starters on the mound.
Randy Vasquez has been impressive through two starts. He has a 0.75 ERA, 3.54 xERA, 3.20 xFIP and 3.23 SIERA thus far. His average fastball velocity is up one MPH, while his groundball rate is up to a staggering 64.5%.
Vasquez's career groundball rate is 40%, yet he is third among starters to begin this season.
This number may not be maintained at this level throughout the season, but it is not crazy to keep it up through a third start.
Meanwhile, the Rockies will rely on their most talented starting pitcher for the bulk of today. Dollander's average fastball velocity is also up one MPH, and he has some results to go along with it.
His 21.6% K-BB and 52.2% groundball rate are impressive, albeit through 8 1/3 IP. This is the range of numbers necessary to succeed in the harsh conditions of Coors Field.
Even with a 5.40 ERA and 4.57 xERA, there is reason for optimism that Dollander may take a step this season to average SP territory, if not higher.
Regardless, Dollander is not pitching in Coors today; he is pitching in MLB's fifth-friendliest ballpark for pitchers (according to StatCast rolling averages).
Between these potentially improved starters, the Padres' arctic offense, and this being the Rockies' first game away from Coors without a day off, we will not expect many runs tonight in San Diego.
Pick: Under 8 (-115, BetMGM)
