The Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets on August 8, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI.
Friday night in Milwaukee sets up as one of the premier pitching matchups of the weekend, with Kodai Senga getting the ball for New York and Milwaukee countering with Brandon Woodruff.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mets vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mets vs Brewers Prediction
- Mets vs Brewers picks: Under 8 (-115 via Fanatics)
My Mets vs Brewers best bet is Under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Brewers Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +155 | 7.5 -122o / -102u | +119 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -189 | 7.5 -122o / -102u | -141 |
Mets vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Kodai Senga (NYM) | Stat | RHP Brandon Woodruff (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | W-L | 3-0 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 2.31 / 3.82 | ERA /xERA | 2.22 / 2.10 |
| 3.89 / 4.33 | FIP / xFIP | 3.32 / 2.94 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 0.64 |
| 11.3% | K-BB% | 31.7% |
| 46.6% | GB% | 19.4% |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 95 | Location+ | 106 |
The Betting Insider’s Mets vs Brewers Preview
New York Mets Betting Preview: Senga Needs to Fine Tune Game
Senga enters at 7–3 with a 2.31 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 86 strikeouts in 89 2/3 innings over 17 starts. He was untouchable earlier this season before landing on the injured list, leading all of baseball with a 1.47 ERA through his first 13 outings. However, since returning from the IL, he has looked more human, giving up 11 runs over his last 12 innings.
The stuff is still there, but his command will need to sharpen to navigate a Brewers lineup that has been seeing the ball well. His signature fork-ball remains one of the nastiest pitches in the league, generating a 42% whiff rate and holding opponents to a ridiculous .111 batting average. That pitch, paired with his ability to mix in a cutter, four-seam fastball, and slider, allows him to attack hitters in multiple ways.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: <span >Woodruff Red Hot After Injury</span>
Woodruff, on the other hand, is in peak form. Since returning from shoulder surgery, he’s been flawless, posting a 3–0 record with a 2.22 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, and 37 strikeouts in just 28 1/3 innings across five starts. All but one outing has been a quality start, and he’s holding hitters to one of the lowest on-base averages in baseball since his return.
Woodruff leans heavily on a three-pitch combination that features a mid-to-high 90’s fastball, a sinker, and a devastating changeup that has generated a 43% whiff rate and held batters to a 0.53 batting average. He commands all three pitches exceptionally well, attacking the strike zone early and forcing hitters into defensive swings.
The Mets have been the league’s worst offense over the last month, ranking dead last in batting average, OPS, and wRC+, setting the stage for yet another quality start from Woodruff. He has also been lights out at American Family Field throughout his career, and his recent dominance suggests that trend isn’t slowing down.
Mets vs Brewers Prediction, Betting Analysis
With two high-end starters, favorable weather conditions, and the Mets recent struggles, a couple of The Betting Insider’s most profitable systems have been triggered for tonight’s game. Check them out below!
System: Home favorites starting an ace (61% win rate, 17% ROI)
Home team’s starting pitcher has an ERA below 2.75
Home team’s SP has a WHIP of 1.10 or lower
Home team’s SP has a K rate above 20%
Home team is favored, between -115 and -280
Home team has gone under in more than 45% of their games
Total between 5 and 9
System: RLM Unders, wind blowing in (60% win rate, 16% ROI)
Wind direction is “in”, “from left”, or “from right”
No more than 30% of public bets on the under
The total moved down from open
Total between 7 and 10
Average humidity% below 75%
System: Visiting dog off a bad offensive performance, fair weather (59% win rate, 14% ROI)
Visiting team scored no more than 1 run in their previous game
Home team is favored, between -115 and -285
Wind direction is not “out”, “to right”, or “to left”
Wind speed between 1 and 11 mph
Game #33-150
Pick: Under 8 (-115 via Fanatics)
