The Tampa Bay Rays host the Miami Marlins on May 17, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Rays are favored by -154 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +130 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Rays Prediction
- Marlins vs Rays Pick: Under 7.5 (-117 | Play to -125)
My Marlins vs Rays best bet is Under 7.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Rays Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 7.5 102o / -124u | +130 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 7.5 102o / -124u | -154 |
- Marlins vs Rays moneyline: Marlins +130, Rays -154
- Marlins vs Rays over/under: 7.5 (+102 / -124)
- Marlins vs Rays spread: Marlins +1.5 (-176), Rays -1.5 (+146)
Marlins vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| RHP Eury Perez (MIA) | Stat | RHP Drew Rasmussen (TB) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | W-L | 3-1 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 4.94 / 4.88 | ERA / xERA | 3.16 / 2.97 |
| 4.83 / 4.35 | FIP / xFIP | 3.71 / 2.99 |
| 14.0% | K-BB% | 21.2% |
| 35.2% | GB% | 48.7% |
| .280 | BABIP | .221 |
| 116 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 92 | Location+ | 116 |
Marlins vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Right-hander Eury Perez is coming off one of his best outings of the year. In that contest, he surrendered three runs on three hits while striking out eight en route to a 3-0 loss.
Another low-scoring affair is likely on Sunday. Not only could Perez put together another quality start, but he is also unlikely to receive run support once again.
The Miami Marlins have struggled at the dish this year, ranking in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. These struggles at the dish are likely to continue against right-hander Drew Rasmussen.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
A potential AL Cy Young candidate through the early portion of the season, Rasmussen carries a 3-1 record with a 3.16 ERA and 0.91 WHIP into this matchup. His underlying metrics are equally impressive as the right-hander ranks in the top quarter of the league in xERA, average exit velocity, walk rate and hard-hit rate.
This success is likely to continue against Miami. In six career meetings, Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA.
From the other perspective, this current Marlins roster owns a mere .355 slugging percentage through 32 combined plate appearances against Rasmussen.
Marlins vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
Rasmussen is likely to deal once again in this matchup against a poor Marlins lineup. The biggest obstacle to the under is the Rays’ ability to produce runs.
However, Perez is coming off a strong outing in which the under hit. Meanwhile, there have been seven or fewer total runs scored in two of Rasmussen’s past three starts.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-117 | Play to -125)
