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MLB Home Run Picks, Predictions: 5 HR Best Bets for Orioles-Marlins, Braves-Mariners, More for May 5

MLB Home Run Picks, Predictions: 5 HR Best Bets for Orioles-Marlins, Braves-Mariners, More for May 5 article feature image
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May 1, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Atlanta Braves infielder Ozzie Albies (1) during the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-Imagn Images

We have a 15-game slate on Tuesday, which offers plenty of options to bring you some bangers.

Read on for my Home Run Picks Today for Tuesday, May 5.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

GameTime (ET)Pick
Baltimore Orioles LogoMiami Marlins Logo
6:40 PM
Minnesota Twins LogoWashington Nationals Logo
6:45 PM
Texas Rangers LogoNew York Yankees Logo
7:05 PM
Atlanta Braves LogoSeattle Mariners Logo
9:40 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.


Orioles vs Marlins HR Pick

Baltimore Orioles Logo
Tuesday, May 5
6:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Miami Marlins Logo
Pete Alonso Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Even in a below-average spot, Pete Alonso is priced way too high.

Sandy Alcantara has been a below-average pitcher for righty power in his career, but since coming back from surgery, he's only been a slightly below-average pitcher for righty power.

Alonso has been in great form recently, and I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +400.

Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run



Twins vs Nationals Home Run Pick

Minnesota Twins Logo
Tuesday, May 5
6:45 PM ET
MLB.TV
Washington Nationals Logo
James Wood Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The odds are low, but the spot is too good to pass up.

Taj Bradley is a better matchup for righty power, but he's still a plus matchup for lefty power.

The weather in Washington is great for hitting today, with temps in the low 80s and wind gusting to 13 MPH.

James Wood is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +300.

Pick: James Wood Home Run



Rangers vs Yankees HR Prop

Texas Rangers Logo
Tuesday, May 5
7:05 PM ET
MLB.TV
New York Yankees Logo
Ben Rice Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Jacob DeGrom is still a great pitcher at this point in his career, but he has struggled heavily against lefty power since the beginning of last season, allowing 1.33 HR/9.

The ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power, and even with the wind crossing right to left, the ball still should fly well.

Ben Rice has been one of the best home run hitters in the league this season, and I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +280.

Pick: Ben Rice Home Run



Braves vs Mariners Player Prop Pick Today

Atlanta Braves Logo
Tuesday, May 5
9:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Seattle Mariners Logo
Ozzie Albies Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Ozzie Albies has been great this season, and we're seeing some of the power that we saw earlier in his career.

He's been in great form recently, and even in a below-average spot, the odds are too high.

George Kirby is a below-average matchup for lefty power, and so is the ballpark, but the temperatures in Seattle shouldn't be bad.

I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +600.

Pick: Ozzie Albies Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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